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All Forums > WHATS ON YOUR MIND > SPORTS SHIT > nba playoff stuff!
nba playoff stuff!
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PostPosted: Mon Apr 18, 2016 7:49 am    Post subject: nba playoff stuff!

just going to throw things here during playoffs! Hat tip



In NBA handicapping circles, Zig Zags are trendy applications that have been profitable moneymakers during the playoffs. The premise is simple: ‘Play On’ a team off a playoff loss in its very next game.


The theory is that in a short series involving imminent elimination, a team in more inclined to bounce back with a good effort off a losing performance than it is to continue its losing ways.


How have these plays held up of late? You might be surprised.


Here are pointspread results of NBA Playoff Zig Zags from 1991 through 2015.


Game On, Dude


Overall: 819-726-38• 53.0%
Game Two: 204-159-13 • 56.2%
Game Three: 201-168-8• 54.5%
Game Four: 167-170-8 • 49.6%
Game Five: 135-124-7• 52.1%
Game Six: 79-70-2 • 51.6%
Game Seven: 30-27-2 • 52.5%


The strength of NBA Zig Zags appears to be in Game Three where they become a better than 56% point spread play on the blind.


Burn Baby Burn


Like all things that are popular, though, they eventually burn out and revert back to the norm.


A combination of the ‘law of averages’ and an adjustment by the odds makers has seen the NBA Zig Zags go up in smoke since 2001.


That’s confirmed by the fact that these plays slipped dramatically the last 15 years (2001-2015), going 508-477-28 – or 51.6% - overall as opposed to a 311-249-10 mark – or 55.5% - in games played from 1991-2000.


That’s a decline of nearly 4 full percentage points. Or in bottom line terms, they have been money burners on the blind the last 15 seasons. Talk about a buzz kill.


Round ‘Em Up


Here is a breakdown of how the Zig Zags have fared during each round of the NBA Playoffs since 1991:


Round One: 393-346-22 • 53.2%
Round Two: 204-159-13 • 56.2%
Round Three: 120-111-6 • 51.9%
Round Four: 60-53-3 • 53.1%


While it appears Round Two holds a discernable edge, it should be noted that home teams off a double-digit loss in Round Two have yielded the largest profits, as they are 83-54-3 (60.6%).


Planting The Seeds


Here is a breakdown of how the Zig Zags have fared by seed during NBA Playoffs:


No. 1 Seeds: 117-106-5 • 52.5%
No. 2 Seeds: 113-92-4 • 55.1%
No. 3 Seeds: 97-85-9 • 53.3%
No. 4 Seeds: 80-76-1• 51.3%
No. 5 Seeds: 75-71-3• 51.4%
No. 6 Seeds: 81-76-2-2• 51.6%
No. 7 Seeds: 44-65-4• 40.4%
No. 8 Seeds: 66-46-5 • 59.0%


Note these results are since the 1996 season, when our database first began charting seeds.


Note the disparate results that abound between No. 7 and No. 8 seeds.


Rocky Mountain High


So when is it we can still expect to catch the best possible result when firing up with these with NBA Zig Zags these days, you ask?


Simple. Look to support double-digit underdogs when they are off a SU and ATS loss. They’ve stood the test of time, going 35-19-2 ATS since 1991. That’s a pretty high 64.8% winning percentage when you think about it.
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PostPosted: Mon Apr 18, 2016 8:47 am    Post subject: Re: nba playoff stuff!

Indiana Pacers at Toronto Raptors (-7, 193.5)

Pacers lead series 1-0

All-Star forward Paul George and the Indiana Pacers delivered the opening salvo and look to make it two consecutive road victories when they face the Toronto Raptors on Monday. George poured in 33 points in Saturday's 100-90 victory and Indiana attempts to continue the playoff woes of the Raptors.

Second-seeded Toronto hasn't won a playoff series since 2001 and has dropped its last seven postseason games, which includes last season's four losses to the Washington Wizards. "As a team, as a whole, I thought we were tight," Raptors coach Dwane Casey told reporters. "I know our team did not play to our identity, but I know we'll come back Monday night and play to our identity." The seventh-seeded Pacers plan to ride the coattails of George in this series and he is intent on making a mark in his first postseason appearances since badly breaking his right leg in the summer of 2014. "Paul's shot-making at the end of the game was spectacular," Indiana coach Frank Vogel told reporters in reference to George's 27 second-half points. "It's been a long road for him in terms of actually getting back to the court but before his injury, we were in the conference finals."

LINE HISTORY: The Raptors opened as seven-point favorites at home and the spread has yet to move off the opening number. The total opened at 193 and was adjusted slightly to 193.5



ABOUT THE PACERS (46-37, 42-40-1 ATS, 37-46 O/U): George said after the Game 1 victory that he is still working on getting to be as strong physically as he was prior to the devastating injury that required an arduous recovery. "Some days I felt great, felt like I could have started that night," George told reporters. "Some days I wanted to throw it all in, let Mother Nature heal it without doing any work. It was a little bit of both." George (4-of-5) and shooting guard Monta Ellis (3-of-4) were strong from 3-point range in the opener and Indiana was 11-of-21 overall.

ABOUT THE RAPTORS (56-27, 45-38 ATS, 42-40-1 O/U): Game 1 was filled with offensive inefficiency as Toronto shot 38 percent from the field and committed 20 turnovers that led to 25 Indiana points. "We just missed some shots and turned the ball over," All-Star point guard Kyle Lowry told reporters. "Now there's a series of adjustments we have to do in one day. It's one game. This is not last year. We're very positive, we're very confident." Lowry was just 3-of-13 shooting, All-Star shooting guard DeMar DeRozan was only 5-of-19 and center Jonas Valanciunas - who set a franchise playoff record with 19 rebounds - was just 4-of-14.

TRENDS:

* Pacers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 vs. Eastern Conference.
* Raptors are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up loss.
* Under is 6-1 in Pacers last 7 Conference Quarterfinals games.
* Over is 6-1 in Raptors last 7 games following a double-digit loss at home.
* Pacers are 2-10 ATS in the last 12 meetings.
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PostPosted: Mon Apr 18, 2016 8:49 am    Post subject: Re: nba playoff stuff!

Dallas Mavericks at Oklahoma City Thunder (-13.5, 200)

Thunder lead series 1-0

The Oklahoma City Thunder put together an immaculate performance in the series opener and look to outclass Dallas again when they host the visiting Mavericks on Monday. The Thunder rolled to a 108-70 annihilation of Dallas on Saturday in what was the franchise's largest margin of victory in a playoff game since relocating from Seattle to Oklahoma City prior to the 2008-09 campaign.

The third-seeded Thunder missed the playoffs last season and came out with a vengeance against the Mavericks as if they had a point to make. "We just wanted to come out and impose our will early," All-Star forward Kevin Durant told reporters. "We didn't want to ease into the game. We wanted to be the aggressor. We came out and did a good job." Sixth-seeded Dallas set dubious franchise playoff records for fewest points scored and worst field-goal percentage (29.8 percent) in a truly woeful showing. "I guess the only positive I take out if this - it's only one game," power forward Dirk Nowitzki told reporters. "If you lose by two or by 50, in the playoffs, it's only one game. We've got another crack to steal one on Monday night. We've got to play harder, we've got to play better. It's as simple as that."

TV: 8 p.m. ET, TNT, FSN Oklahoma

LINE HISTORY: Oklahoma City opened as 13-point favorites but that line was quickly bet up to -13.5. The total opened at 202 and the public jumped all over the under, forcing the books to drop the number a full two points to 200.



ABOUT THE MAVERICKS (42-41, 45-37-1 ATS, 39-43-1 O/U): Point guard J.J. Barea has been one of the team's better players this month but his availability is in jeopardy after he aggravated a groin injury during the second half of Game 1. "I'm very, very concerned," Dallas coach Rick Carlisle told reporters. "I think something happened. I don't think it's just tight." Nowitzki scored 18 points on Saturday and the rest of the starting lineup combined for just 12 points on 5-of-25 shooting as guards Deron Williams (1-of-9), Wesley Matthews (3-of-10) and Barea (1-of-6) were unable to get untracked.

ABOUT THE THUNDER (56-27, 38-44-1 ATS, 39-44 O/U): Point guard Russell Westbrook (24 points and 11 assists in 29 minutes) and Durant (23 points in 26 minutes) were productive as usual but Oklahoma City also received a strong performance from power forward Serge Ibaka, who had 17 points on 7-of-8 shooting to go with nine rebounds and three blocked shots. Ibaka has struggled recently and went 1-of-12 from the field in his final regular-season appearance but was a much different player in the assault of the Mavericks. "When he's knocking (down shots), it opens it up for us on the offensive end," Durant told reporters. "Then guarding Dirk is tough. He made it tough on him all night. He was helping off, protecting the rim, spreading the floor. He was good, but we need him to be better next game."

TRENDS:

* Mavericks are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 Conference Quarterfinals games.
* Thunder are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
* Under is 6-1 in Mavericks last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
* Under is 5-1 in Thunder last 6 vs. NBA Southwest.
* Under is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings in Oklahoma City.
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PostPosted: Mon Apr 18, 2016 8:51 am    Post subject: Re: nba playoff stuff!

Houston Rockets at Golden State Warriors (-13, 218)

Warriors lead series 1-0

The Golden State Warriors looked every bit like the best team in the NBA in Game 1 of their first-round series but did not come out of the 26-point victory with all positives. The Warriors hope to have star guard Stephen Curry (ankle) available when they host the eighth-seeded Houston Rockets in Game 2 on Monday.

Curry scored 24 points in 19 minutes in Game 1 but rolled his right ankle and barely played in the second half as the Warriors cruised to a 104-78 win. Coach Steve Kerr called him “questionable” for Game 2, but Curry disagreed. "Right now, don't see a scenario where I'll be out," Curry told reporters. "Obviously, if it's not right and I'm at risk of further injury or whatnot, that's the only thing that we'll have to worry about. Pain tolerance and all that stuff, I kind of know what I can deal with on the court. But you don't want anything more serious to happen, favoring an ankle or whatnot. So that's what we'll kind of pay attention to the next two days.” The Rockets will spend their off day trying to figure out how to coax more offense out of a team that shot 35.7 percent from the field, including 6-of-22 from 3-point range, in the opener.

TV: 10:30 p.m. ET, TNT, ROOT (Houston), CSN Bay Area (Golden State)

LINE HISTORY: The Warriors opened as 12.5-point favorites for Game 2 and that line was adjusted up slightly to -13. The total opened at 220 but the betting public decided that number was too high and the books adjusted the number to 218.


ABOUT THE ROCKETS (41-42, 37-46 ATS, 47-36 O/U): Houston went with a smaller lineup to try to counter Golden State, inserting Corey Brewer into the starting lineup in place of power forward Donatas Motiejunas to give the defense more athleticism. "Defensively, we thought it gave us more versatility to switch things," Rockets interim coach J.B. Bickerstaff told reporters. "Games we've watched, the way we've studied it, the teams that have had success versus them defensively weren't chasing them all over the floor. They just check in front of them. So we went that way." The defensive changes backfired and the offense stalled as star James Harden went 7-of-19 from the floor and did not attempt a free throw for the first time in 148 games.

ABOUT THE WARRIORS (74-9, 46-35-2 ATS, 45-37-1 O/U): Golden State was plus-28 with Curry on the floor in Game 1 and doesn’t want to play without its star, but is prepared if necessary. “If you lose the MVP, it’s going to change your team,” Warriors forward Draymond Green told reporters. “I think he’ll be fine at some point. One man is not going to come out and be Steph Curry. We have to do it collectively. But we have the blueprint (for winning without Curry). We know we can do it, if we have to.” Fellow All-Star guard Klay Thompson struggled from the field (4-of-14) but Green collected 12 points and 10 rebounds and Golden State scored 33 points off Houston’s 24 turnovers in Game 1.

TRENDS:

* Rockets are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 Conference Quarterfinals games.
* Warriors are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. NBA Southwest.
* Under is 6-0 in Rockets last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
* Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Golden State.
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PostPosted: Mon Apr 18, 2016 8:16 pm    Post subject: Re: nba playoff stuff!

Thanks POI Hat tip
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PostPosted: Mon Apr 18, 2016 11:30 pm    Post subject: Re: nba playoff stuff!

NBA Trends
Play on NBA playoff DD dogs off a SU and ATS loss. Record is 35-19-2 ATS since 1991.

INDIANA vs. TORONTO
Indiana is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Indiana's last 5 games when playing on the road against Toronto
Toronto is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Indiana
Toronto is 21-4 SU in its last 25 games at home

DALLAS vs. OKLAHOMA CITY
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Dallas's last 8 games when playing on the road against Oklahoma City
Dallas is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oklahoma City's last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oklahoma City's last 7 games when playing Dallas

HOUSTON vs. GOLDEN STATE
Houston is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Golden State
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Houston's last 9 games when playing Golden State
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Golden State's last 5 games when playing at home against Houston
Golden State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Indiana at Toronto
Indiana: 21-10 ATS after playing a game as an underdog
Toronto: 10-24 ATS revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite

Dallas at Oklahoma City
Dallas: 50-27 ATS off a road blowout loss of 20 points or more
Oklahoma City: 29-40 ATS after playing a game as favorite

Houston at Golden State
Houston: 48-72 ATS on road revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more
Golden State: 14-5 ATS against Southwest division opponents
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PostPosted: Mon Apr 18, 2016 11:32 pm    Post subject: Re: nba playoff stuff!

StatFox Super Situations

NBA | HOUSTON at GOLDEN STATE
Play On - Road teams (HOUSTON) explosive offensive team - scoring 103+ points/game on the season, after trailing in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half
102-54 since 1997. ( 65.4% | 42.6 units )
15-9 this year. ( 62.5% | 5.1 units )

NBA | INDIANA at TORONTO
Play On - Any team vs the money line (TORONTO) when trailing in a playoff series, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a marginal winning team (51% to 60%)
42-15 since 1997. ( 73.7% | 25.0 units )

NBA | INDIANA at TORONTO
Play Under - All teams where the first half total is between 95.5 and 100.5 points in a playoff game
446-294 since 1997. ( 60.3% | 122.6 units )
2-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 2.0 units )
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PostPosted: Tue Apr 19, 2016 9:32 am    Post subject: Re: nba playoff stuff!

Boston Celtics at Atlanta Hawks (-6, 205.5)

Hawks lead series 1-0

The Atlanta Hawks squandered all of a 19-point lead in Game 1 but recovered late in the fourth quarter and managed to pull out a 102-101 victory. The fourth-seeded Hawks will try to make it two in a row on Tuesday over the fifth-seeded and visiting Boston Celtics, who will be without guard Avery Bradley due to a “significant” hamstring injury suffered late Saturday.

Boston completed its comeback and took an 83-80 lead with 6:48 remaining on Saturday but had Bradley go down seven seconds later on the way back up the court. "Avery has a pretty significant strained hamstring,” Celtics coach Brad Stevens told reporters on Sunday. “I would say he would be doubtful for any of the remainder of the series, certainly very unlikely Tuesday night. As of right now, I would say he's out Tuesday night, but obviously he'll continue to get treatment around the clock and go from there. But I would say very unlikely the rest of the series." The absence of Bradley as a lockdown defender could open the floor even more for Atlanta guard Jeff Teague, who collected 23 points and 12 assists in the opener. Teague sealed the Game 1 win at the free-throw line and formed a potent pick-and-roll combination with center Al Horford.

TV: 7 p.m. ET, TNT, CSN New England (Boston), FSN Southeast (Atlanta)

LINE HISTORY: The Hawks opened as six-point favorites at most books and that number hasn't moved. The total began at 206.5 and has come down a full point to 205.5

ABOUT THE CELTICS (48-35, 43-39-1 ATS, 39-44 O/U): Boston is touting the fact that it doesn’t have a superstar, and the players were leaning on the “next man up” philosophy after learning the significance of Bradley’s injury. "No change with Avery being out," guard Marcus Smart, who figures to move into the starting lineup, told reporters of his role. "Just have to keep doing what I do. It's just going to be (that) I'm going to have more time to make more effort plays and intensity plays and help my team win. Our little slogan is '(We're) one superstar.' It's us as a team. So this isn't anything new. If Avery was here or not, my responsibilities would be the same." The Celtics could also turn to rookie guards Terry Rozier and R.J. Hunter to cover the extra minutes.

ABOUT THE HAWKS (49-34, 42-40-1 ATS, 38-45 O/U): Atlanta held the Celtics to 23.1 percent shooting in the first half of Game 1 and got the stops it needed down the stretch after squandering the lead. The Hawks were the more aggressive team throughout most of the contest and outscored Boston 52-36 in the paint and attempted 16 more free throws. "Another point of emphasis was physicality," Hawks forward Paul Millsap told reporters. "We weren't as physical last year (in the playoffs). (Saturday) was a good night to set that tone. I felt like, especially in the first half, we did that."

TRENDS:

* Celtics are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games playing on 2 days rest.
* Hawks are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
* Under is 9-1 in Celtics last 10 games following a ATS win.
* Under is 4-0 in Hawks last 4 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous gam
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PostPosted: Tue Apr 19, 2016 9:34 am    Post subject: Re: nba playoff stuff!

Memphis Grizzlies at San Antonio Spurs (-18.5, 187)

Spurs lead series 1-0

The San Antonio Spurs are supposed to make quick work of Memphis and it sure looked that the way in the series opener as the Grizzlies suffered their largest margin of defeat in franchise postseason history. San Antonio looks to follow up the impressive 106-74 victory with another solid effort when it hosts Memphis in Tuesday's Game 2.

The second-seeded Spurs had 13 steals and nine blocked shots - All-Star small forward Kawhi Leonard had four steals and three blocks - as they pulled away behind their suffocating defense. "Kawhi's a very good defender, and he takes great pride in it," San Antonio coach Gregg Popovich told reporters after Game 1. "He did what he usually does for us. It's important. He sets the tone for us defensively, and (Sunday) was a good example of that." The beleaguered seventh-seeded Grizzlies have lost 11 of their last 12 games and their confidence surely took another hit due to the severe beat down. "We're going to forget it," power forward Zach Randolph said afterward. "Put this one in the backwash and get ready for Tuesday."

TV: 9:30 p.m. ET, TNT, FSN Southeast (Memphis), FSN Southwest (San Antonio)

LINE HISTORY: The betting line for Tuesday's matchup between the Grizzlies and Spurs opened with San Antonio pegged as 18.5-point favorites and the initial total set at 187


ABOUT THE GRIZZLIES (42-41, 42-40-1 ATS, 45-36-2 O/U): Memphis needs strong performances from Randolph to avoid being swept and that didn't occur in the opener as he scored just six points on 3-of-13 shooting. "I got some good looks. I just have to knock them down," Randolph told reporters. "They bring a bunch of people when I get the ball. I just have to stay positive. We know what we're dealing with. We've got a lot of young guys. We just have to be better, including myself." Veteran swingman Vince Carter was the Grizzlies' top offensive performer in Game 1 with 16 points on 6-of-7 shooting in 19 minutes.

ABOUT THE SPURS (68-15, 45-38 ATS, 35-46-2 O/U): Leonard, who was named Defensive Player of the Year on Monday for the second straight season, also excelled on the offensive end with 20 points in Game 1 and veteran center Tim Duncan was strong on the board with 11 rebounds. "We got it going defensively," Duncan told reporters. "We were solid the whole way through and then some shots started falling. We kind of extended that lead - I think just giving ourselves a quarter or two to get ourselves rolling." The huge lead allowed power forward LaMarcus Aldridge (dislocated right pinky finger) to be rested - he had 17 points and 27 minutes - as San Antonio had 12 players see 10 or more minutes of action.

TRENDS:

* Grizzlies are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
* Spurs are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 1 days rest.
* Over is 7-1-1 in Grizzlies last 9 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points.
* Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings.
* Grizzlies are 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings.
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PostPosted: Tue Apr 19, 2016 10:05 pm    Post subject: Re: nba playoff stuff!

StatFox Super Situations

NBA | BOSTON at ATLANTA
Play On - Road teams (BOSTON) explosive offensive team - scoring 103+ points/game on the season, after trailing in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half
102-54 since 1997. ( 65.4% | 42.6 units )
15-9 this year. ( 62.5% | 5.1 units )

NBA | BOSTON at ATLANTA
Play On - Home favorites of -165 to -500 vs. the money line (ATLANTA) after being beaten by the spread by 24 or more points total in their last three games, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season
208-54 since 1997. ( 79.4% | 76.7 units )
6-4 this year. ( 60.0% | -2.6 units )

NBA | MEMPHIS at SAN ANTONIO
Play Over - Road teams where the first half total is between 90.5 and 95.5 points after failing to cover 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season
34-11 over the last 5 seasons. ( 75.6% | 21.9 units )
1-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 1.0 units )
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PostPosted: Wed Apr 20, 2016 12:08 am    Post subject: Re: nba playoff stuff!

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PostPosted: Wed Apr 20, 2016 11:12 pm    Post subject: Re: nba playoff stuff!

StatFox Super Situations

NBA | CHARLOTTE at MIAMI
Play On - Underdogs (CHARLOTTE) explosive offensive team - scoring 103+ points/game on the season, after trailing in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half
88-45 since 1997. ( 66.2% | 38.5 units )
14-9 this year. ( 60.9% | 4.1 units )

NBA | CHARLOTTE at MIAMI
Play Against - Any team vs the money line (CHARLOTTE) revenging a loss vs opponent, off a blowout loss by 20 points or more to a division rival
71-26 over the last 5 seasons. ( 73.2% | 35.2 units )
8-7 this year. ( 53.3% | -0.3 units )

NBA | CHARLOTTE at MIAMI
Play Under - All teams where the first half total is between 95.5 and 100.5 points off a loss against a division rival, in a game involving two marginal winning teams (51% to 60%)
50-21 since 1997. ( 70.4% | 26.9 units )
3-2 this year. ( 60.0% | 0.8 units )
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PostPosted: Thu Apr 21, 2016 5:28 am    Post subject: Re: nba playoff stuff!

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PostPosted: Thu Apr 21, 2016 8:06 am    Post subject: Re: nba playoff stuff!

Last time a playoff home team was a 5+ dog after winning SU away in prev mtg was '06 & CLE covered but lost SU to DET. Mavs fit this Thurs.
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PostPosted: Thu Apr 21, 2016 8:15 am    Post subject: Re: nba playoff stuff!

Oklahoma City Thunder at Dallas Mavericks (+8.5, 196.5)

Series tied 1-1

Dallas forward Dirk Nowitzki plans to play through a bruised right knee and the Mavericks look to take a 2-1 series lead when they host the Oklahoma City Thunder on Thursday. Nowtizki injured the knee during Monday's 85-84 victory, a stunning road win that kept sixth-seeded Dallas alive in the series.

Nowitzki, who said he was injured on the first play of game, underwent an MRI exam that revealed the bone bruise and he was relieved that it wasn't anything more significant. "I had it worked on a little bit and after the game I was really stiff," Nowitzki told reporters on Wednesday. Coming off the plane, I could barely walk anymore. There was some swelling (Tuesday), but it's feeling a lot better, moving around a little bit." The third-seeded Thunder are dealing with a bruised psyche after losing Game 2 following a 38-point beat down of the Mavericks in the series opener. All-Star forward Kevin Durant was a horrid 7-of-33 shooting in Monday's loss, prompting coach Oklahoma City coach Billy Donovan to describe it this way: "For a guy that's been as great a scorer as he has his entire career, for him to shoot the ball the way he did was really uncharacteristic."

TV: 7 p.m. ET, TNT, FSN Oklahoma, KTXA (Dallas)


LINE HISTORY: The Thunder opened the betting for this matchup as 8.5-point favorites. The line initially dropped to Dallas +8, then rose as high as +9.5, before settling back down to the opening number of +8.5. The total opened at 197 and dropped slightly to 196.5.

ABOUT THE THUNDER (56-28, 38-45-1 ATS, 39-45 O/U): Durant, who scored 21 points, had never previously missed 26 shots before in a game and he didn't have any answers for why he shot so poorly. "Bad shooting night for me," Durant said. "It's a part of it. I wish it didn't happen tonight, but it's a part of it. Got some great looks all night and just didn't knock them down. Just stick with my routine - don't do too much extra." Point guard Russell Westbrook also shot a poor percentage (8-of-22) while contributing 19 points and 14 rebounds but only six assists.

ABOUT THE MAVERICKS (43-41, 46-37-1 ATS, 39-44-1 O/U): Nowitzki's injury is just the latest in a long line of ailments for Dallas, which won't know until close to game time whether or not point guards J.J. Barea (groin) and Deron Williams (sports hernia) or forward David Lee (foot) will be available. Barea ran after Wednesday's practice - a good sign - while Williams is trying to fight through an injury that will require offseason surgery. "We know from a manpower standpoint we're at a pretty big disadvantage," Mavericks coach Rick Carlisle told reporters. "And we know we're not going to outrun or outdunk or outskill these guys."

TRENDS:

* Thunder are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
* Mavericks are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
* Under is 6-1 in Thunder last 7 vs. NBA Southwest.
* Under is 9-2 in Mavericks last 11 overall.
* Over is 24-9-1 in the last 34 meetings in Dallas.


Last edited by poipounder on Thu Apr 21, 2016 8:20 am; edited 1 time in total
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PostPosted: Thu Apr 21, 2016 8:18 am    Post subject: Re: nba playoff stuff!

Toronto Raptors at Indiana Pacers (+1.5, 193)

Series tied 1-1

Jonas Valanciunas has been Toronto's most reliable performer through the first two games of the series and the Raptors hope the 7-foot center has another strong effort in him when they visit the Indiana Pacers in Thursday's Game 3. Valanciunas averaged team-leading figures of 17.5 points and 17 rebounds as second-seeded Toronto split the first two games with seventh-seeded Indiana.

Valanciunas had 23 points and 15 rebounds in Monday's 98-87 victory as the Raptors evened the series in a contest in which All-Star guards Kyle Lowry and DeMar DeRozan continued to struggle. "We've all got to step up," Valanciunas told reporters. "It's not an individual sport. Some nights are tough for Kyle, some nights it's tough for DeMar, tough for me. Everybody has tough times, so everybody has got to pull for each other." All-Star forward Paul George is averaging 30.5 points in the series but he was annoyed the Pacers returned to Indianapolis with a split instead of a 2-0 lead. "You usually feel good walking away from a road trip with the series tied at one, but I'm upset because a lot of stuff that we gave up was preventable," George told reporters. "(Game 2) was set up the same way for us as Game 1 to rally back and win this game. I thought our focus was lost and we gave up some plays that we shouldn’t have."

TV: 7:30 p.m. ET, NBATV, Sportsnet One (Toronto), FSN Indiana

LINE HISTORY: This game opened as a PICK and the public pushed the Raptors all of the way up to -1.5. The total opened at 193 and was bumped up to 193.5


ABOUT THE RAPTORS (57-27, 46-38 ATS, 42-41-1 O/U): Lowry is averaging 14 points on 7-of-26 shooting and DeRozan is averaging 12 points on 10-of-37 shooting as neither player has come close to his All-Star form in the series. Most concerning was DeRozan's Game 2 showing as he didn't attempt a single free throw - he averaged 8.4 per game in the regular season - and coach Dwane Casey kept him on the bench for the entire fourth quarter. "I feel like it's nothing to get frustrated about, I really do," DeRozan told reporters at Tuesday's practice. "I don't mind having bad shooting nights. You have to be able to take the good with the bad. I had a great season, the season is over with and I've had two rough shooting nights. I don't think it's the end of the world; we still won (Game 2)."

ABOUT THE PACERS (46-38, 42-41-1 ATS, 37-47 O/U): George has been terrific but could certainly use some help from his teammates as shooting guard Monta Ellis (15 per game) is the only other Indiana player averaging in double digits in the series. "We all have to do a better job of helping Paul out," Pacers guard Rodney Stuckey told reporters. "We're at our best offensively when we're moving the ball around and moving (our feet)." Other than George, Indiana's frontcourt production has been practically non-existent with starting center Ian Mahinmi (0-of-8 shooting) and starting power forward Lavoy Allen each averaging three points per game and reserve forwards Myles Turner (nine per game) and Solomon Hill (7.5) also with room to improve.

TRENDS:

* Raptors are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 Conference Quarterfinals games.
* Pacers are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up loss.
* Under is 6-0 in Raptors last 6 games following a ATS win.
* Under is 4-0 in Pacers last 4 Conference Quarterfinals games.
* Raptors are 8-1 ATS in the last 9 meetings in Indiana.
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PostPosted: Thu Apr 21, 2016 8:19 am    Post subject: Re: nba playoff stuff!

Golden State Warriors at Houston Rockets (+6, 217.5)

Warriors lead series 2-0

The Golden State Warriors got some good news in regards to Stephen Curry’s health, but the team might not even need the superstar to get through the first round. The eighth-seeded Houston Rockets are down 0-2 and will try to get back into the series when they host Game 3 on Thursday.

Curry scored 24 points in the first half of Game 1 before leaving with an ankle injury and sat out Game 2. The Warriors breezed to a 115-106 win behind 34 points from Klay Thompson on Monday and on Tuesday announced that an MRI exam on Curry’s ankle showed nothing of concern. "We'll see how he responds the next couple of days, and if he's not right, obviously being up 2-0 does give us more cushion if we decide to sit him," Golden State coach Steve Kerr told reporters after Monday’s win. "But it will be based on his health - not the series score." Whether or not Curry plays, Houston is going to need to find a way to hang onto the ball after totaling 43 turnovers in the first two games.

TV: 9:30 p.m. ET, TNT, CSN Bay Area (Golden State), ROOT (Houston)

LINE HISTORY: The Warriors opened as 5.5-point favorites on the road for Game 3 of this series. The public pounded Golden State and the books were forced to move the Dubs' line up to -6. The total opened at 217 and was bumped up to 218



ABOUT THE WARRIORS (75-9, 47-35-2 ATS, 46-37-1 O/U): Curry is listed as questionable for Game 3 and Golden State knows how to play without its star if necessary. “All the guys knew they had to be aggressive with Steph out,” Kerr told reporters after the Game 2 victory. “The best number on the stat sheet is 16 free throws for Klay. I thought he was fantastic. He came up big.” Shaun Livingston started in Curry’s place and scored 16 points on 7-of-9 shooting while Andre Iguodala stepped up off the bench with 18 points and Draymond Green flirted with a triple-double with 12 points, 14 rebounds and eight assists.

ABOUT THE ROCKETS (41-43, 37-47 ATS, 48-36 O/U): James Harden scored 28 points in Game 2 and went 13-of-15 from the free-throw line after not attempting one in Game 1, but Houston appeared disjointed on both ends in both games. Center Dwight Howard has taken some criticism and needed his coach to come to his defense after Game 2. “No, I don’t think he was disinterested,” interim coach J.B. Bickerstaff told reporters. “I thought he was good on the glass. I thought he was running. Give (Warriors center Andrew) Bogut some credit, he does a good job with his size. He’s physical, uses his length, he pushes, he grabs, he holds, so I wouldn’t say he was disinterested. I thought he gave his effort.”

TRENDS:

* Warriors are 9-0 ATS in their last 9 Thursday games.
* Rockets are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 Conference Quarterfinals games.
* Under is 5-0 in Warriors last 5 road games.
* Over is 4-1 in Rockets last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
* Warriors are 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Houston.


Reining league MVP Stephen Curry is officially listed as Questionable for Thursday night's Game 3 contest in Houston. Although he has said that his injured ankle and foot are feeling better, the Warriors may hold him out just to be sure.
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PostPosted: Thu Apr 21, 2016 8:26 am    Post subject: Re: nba playoff stuff!

u r welcome force aloha !
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PostPosted: Thu Apr 21, 2016 11:07 pm    Post subject: Re: nba playoff stuff!

StatFox Super Situations

NBA | GOLDEN STATE at HOUSTON
Play Under - Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 after failing to cover 2 of their last 3 against the spread against opponent after having covered 4 of their last 5 against the spread
89-46 since 1997. ( 65.9% | 38.4 units )
11-5 this year. ( 68.8% | 5.5 units )

NBA | GOLDEN STATE at HOUSTON
Play On - Road teams vs. the money line (GOLDEN STATE) after successfully covering the spread in 4 or more consecutive games, playing with 2 days rest
34-19 over the last 5 seasons. ( 64.2% | 24.7 units )
6-5 this year. ( 54.5% | 2.8 units )

NBA | OKLAHOMA CITY at DALLAS
Play Under - All teams where the first half total is between 95.5 and 100.5 points good team, winning 60-75% or more of their games on the season, in April games
348-221 since 1997. ( 61.2% | 104.9 units )
4-5 this year. ( 44.4% | -1.5 units )
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PostPosted: Fri Apr 22, 2016 6:34 pm    Post subject: Re: nba playoff stuff!

Thanks for posting POI
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PostPosted: Sat Apr 23, 2016 9:04 am    Post subject: Re: nba playoff stuff!

Toronto Raptors 58-27 (47-38 ATS) at Indiana Pacers 46-39 (42-42 ATS)

When and Where: Saturday, April 23, Bankers Life Fieldhouse, Indianapolis, Ind. 3:00pm EDT (TNT)

The seventh-seeded Pacers went into Toronto and shocked the second-seeded Raptors in game one of their best-of-seven series. For a team that has not won a playoff series since 2001, and only one in franchise history, it might have seemed like time to hit the panic button. Since then, however, Toronto has steadied the ship and won games 2 an 3 by a combined 27 points. In game 3 on Friday night, the Raptors jumped out to a 17-point halftime lead en route to ultimately winning the contest 101-85.



The Raptors‘ defense lived up to their reputation in game 3 as they regained control of their Eastern Conference quarterfinal matchup with the Pacers. Toronto scored 26 points off of 17 Pacers‘ turnovers while holding Indiana to 38.2 percent shooting. After averaging 24 points per contest in the regular season, DeMar DeRozan is not exactly shooting lights-out, having hit just 10-37 shots in his last two games, good enough for 24 points. His backcourt mate Kyle Lowry, who averaged 23.5 a game during the regular season, has scored just 29 during the same stretch, making just 7 of his 29 shots in games 2 and 3. Jonas Valanciunas, however, has stepped his game up and is averaging a playoff-bet 16 rebounds per game as the team has out rebounded Indiana by 10.7 boards a game during the contest.

In Friday night’s game 3 loss, Paul George scored 25 points, while Myles Turner had 17 and George Hill added 13. George was just 6-of-19 from the floor, including 1-of-8 from distance. The team as a whole shot just 6-22 from beyond the arc in game 3. The 36 first-half points were the team’s worst output for the first two quarters in any game they have played this season. They also turned the ball over 11 times while shooting just 33.3 percent in the first half. They trailed by as many as 23 points in the second quarter before scoring the last six points of the half. George shot 12-of-12 from the charity stripe and will be counted on heavily if the Pacers hope to even the series at two-games apiece.

Trends:

Toronto is:

2-8 ATS in their last 10 Conference Quarterfinals games

Indiana is:

4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a double-digit loss at home.
4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points.
8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up loss.
5-2 ATS in their last 7 Saturday games

Pick: Indiana +1.5

Homecourt should play a key here. The Pacers know they will need a win here to stay alive in the series. Being the underdog and down 3-1 would be no cakewalk. Toronto‘s poor shooting has to catch up to them eventually and my money is it happening in this early Saturday afternoon game
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PostPosted: Sat Apr 23, 2016 9:08 am    Post subject: Re: nba playoff stuff!

Miami Heat 50-34 (45-38 ATS) at Charlotte Hornets 48-36 (42-41 ATS)

When and Where: Saturday, April 23, Time Warner Cable Arena, Charlotte, N.C. 5:30pm EDT (TNT)

At the risk of sounding punny, the first two games in Miami were a breeze for the Heat. Miami has won games 1 and 2 by a combined 45 points, including Thursday night’s 115-103 triumph. The teams were all knotted up at 29 after one quarter of action, but Miami outscored the Hornets 43-21 in the second frame and never looked back. The series now shifts to the Tar Heel State where Charlotte will hope they can find their footing and chip away at Miami’s 2-0 lead in this best-of-seven series.

After Miami scored a franchise playoff-record 123 points in Game 1, they managed to put up 72 points in just the first half of their 12-point Game 2 victory. The Heat are shooting 57.8 percent from the floor through the first two games of the series and Dwyane Wade is averaging 22 points and 7.5 assists points along the way. Hassan Whiteside had 17 points while going a perfect 8-of-8 from the field while adding 13 rebounds and two blocks. Goran Dragic pitched in 18 points and Luol Deng scored 16. Josh Richardson also scored in double figures with 15. The Heat are 13-0 all time in the playoffs when taking a 2-0 series lead

Charlotte did not play bad in their Game 2 loss to Miami, but just had trouble keeping up with the red-hot Heat. The fact that they shot just 1-of-16 from beyond the arc did not help matters. One of their best outside shooters, Nicolas Batum went down with a foot injury and is not expected to play in Saturday’s Game 3. Kemba Walker led all scorers with 29 points and Al Jefferson went 12-of-17 from the floor while scoring 25 points. “If we’re going to get 103, we’ve got to win,” said Hornets coach Steve Clifford. With Batum out, Jeremy Lin is likely to see some more playing time, and will need to be more efficient from distance, as will the entire squad. The team as a whole is just 7-of-33 from 3-point range in the series

Trends:

Miami is:

4-0 ATS in their last 4 Conference Quarterfinals games
4-0 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 2 days rest
4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record
4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points
4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall

Charlotte is:

1-5 ATS in their last 6 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game
1-5 ATS in their last 6 games playing on 2 days rest
1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record
1-6 ATS in their last 7 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game
0-4 ATS in their last 4 Conference Quarterfinals games

Pick: Miami +3

While the Heat lost three of four in Charlotte this season, they did win in their last trip there. So far they have looked the superior team in this series, and while Charlotte will get a boost from playing at home, you can expect this to be a close game. The fact that Miami is actually getting points here makes them the smart play.
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PostPosted: Sat Apr 23, 2016 9:11 am    Post subject: Re: nba playoff stuff!

Oklahoma City Thunder (55-27) at Dallas Mavericks (42-40)

NBA: Saturday, April 23, 2016, at 8:00 p.m. ET

Line: Oklahoma City -10

Over/Under: 201.5

The Oklahoma City Thunder travel to American Airlines Center to take on the Dallas Mavericks for game four on Saturday night. On Thursday night, the Thunder beat the Mavericks 131-102. It was a nice bounce back for the Thunder who were upset at home in game two 85-84. A win for the Thunder would put the series out of reach for a lesser talented Mavericks. However a win for the Mavericks will surely make things interesting. It’s unclear if Deron Williams will play in game four as he missed game three with an abdomen injury.


Less than 48 hours after he missed 26 field goal attempts and committed seven turnovers, Kevin Durant bounced back nicely. The 27-year-old finished with 34 points and seven rebounds in game three. Durant got to whatever spots he wanted whenever he wanted. As a result the Thunder went for a playoff high 131 points. Oklahoma City shot 58 percent from the field and they connected on 15-of-27 from three-point range. Russell Westbrook chipped in with 26 points and 15 assists in the win. The Thunder were also the more physical team throughout the night as they out-rebounded Dallas 42-30.


Williams is important to the Mavericks success. The 31-year-old has a lot of playoff experience and most importantly is a leader for Dallas. In game two Williams went for 13 points and five assists in 26 minutes. Yes, J.J. Barea and Raymond Felton (18 points) have performed well, but they aren’t the playmakers or leaders that Williams is. Wesley Matthews was terrific for Dallas going for 22 points and five rebounds. Dirk Nowitzki added 16 points on 7-of-12 shooting. If the Mavericks want to have a chance at winning game four they will need Williams.

Trends:

The Oklahoma City Thunder are:

9-1 ATS in their last 10 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
9-2 ATS in their last 11 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
4-1 ATS in their last 5 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.

The Dallas Mavericks are:

3-8 ATS in their last 11 home games.
2-7 ATS in their last 9 Conference Quarterfinals games.
1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

The pick: Oklahoma City -10

Going into the series I believed the Thunder would sweep the Mavericks. Dallas proved me wrong and grabbed one game in Oklahoma City. The Thunder won’t waste time once again and they should pick up another convincing road win.
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PostPosted: Sat Apr 23, 2016 9:14 am    Post subject: Re: nba playoff stuff!

Los Angeles Clippers (53-29) at Portland Trail Blazers (44-38)

NBA: Saturday, April 23, 2016, at 10:30 p.m. ET

Line: Los Angeles -2

Over/Under: 207.5

The Los Angeles Clippers hit the road to take on the Portland Trail Blazers for game three on Saturday night. Los Angeles took care of business at home in game two when they beat the Trail Blazers 102-81. The story of the series has been the Clippers defense as they’ve allowed Portland to shoot 37 percent from the field in the two games. Clippers guards have done a great job in containing Damian Lillard and C.J. McCollum. A win for the Trail Blazers on Saturday night will put them right back in the series while a loss will certainly put the series out of reach.

Chris Paul has been a pass-first player for most of the season despite averaging 19.5 points this season. In game two, Paul was aggressive going for 25 points on 10-of-22 from the field. One thing has been clear since the series began, he has taken his matchup with Lillard as a big challenge. J.J. Redick was also a spark going for 17 points on 7-of-15 shooting. The Clippers shot 46 percent from the field while holding Portland to an abysmal 34 percent. Blake Griffin added 12 points and nine rebounds.

Damian Lillard was great all season and Portland fans know that he is at his best when the moment is big. Many people assumed Lillard would explode after going for 21 points on 7-of-17 shooting in game one. In game two he played worse, as he finished with 17 points on 6-of-22 shooting. Lillard has done a terrific job of beating the opposing guard whether it’s Paul, Austin Rivers, or Jamal Crawford. The problem is that he keeps getting blocked at the rim by DeAndre Jordan. At home things may change as Lillard and C.J. McCollum will feed off an energetic crowd. McCollum has struggled as he is averaging 12.5 points on 32 percent shooting. If the talented backcourt doesn’t get going, Portland might not win a game.

Trends:

The Los Angeles Clippers are:

6-0 ATS in their last 6 vs. NBA Northwest.
5-0 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
9-2 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up win

The Portland Trail Blazers are:

2-6 ATS in their last 8 home games.
5-19-2 ATS in their last 26 Conference Quarterfinals games.
0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS loss.

The pick: Los Angeles -2

Going into the series I believed Portland would take care of business at home. One thing I didn’t imagine is for Portland to struggle to score so much despite the way they rely on their backcourt so heavily. Los Angeles has had a much easier time scoring which will be the difference in a narrow road win.
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PostPosted: Sat Apr 23, 2016 7:54 pm    Post subject: Re: nba playoff stuff!

NBA | OKLAHOMA CITY at DALLAS
Play Over - All teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record, on Saturday games
62-29 over the last 5 seasons. ( 68.1% | 30.1 units )
13-8 this year. ( 61.9% | 4.2 units )

NBA | MIAMI at CHARLOTTE
Play On - Any team vs the money line (MIAMI) in a game involving two average defensive teams (43.5-45.5%), hot shooting team - 2 straight games making >=50% of their shots
84-48 over the last 5 seasons. ( 63.6% | 37.7 units )
15-10 this year. ( 60.0% | 1.9 units )

NBA | MIAMI at CHARLOTTE
Play On - Favorites vs. the 1rst half line (CHARLOTTE) revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points against opponent off an home win scoring 110 or more points
98-51 over the last 5 seasons. ( 65.8% | 41.9 units )
21-14 this year. ( 60.0% | 5.6 units )
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PostPosted: Sat Apr 23, 2016 8:08 pm    Post subject: Re: nba playoff stuff!

TORONTO RAPTORS: 9-1 ATS last 10 ROAD games vs Indiana Pacers... MIAMI HEAT: 8-2 ATS last 10 ROAD games vs Charlotte Hornets...


NBA Playoff home DOGS on SATURDAYS have gone 1-9-1 O/U when the OU line is > 188 points. LOW-scoring games today in Indiana and Dallas?
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PostPosted: Sat Apr 23, 2016 8:09 pm    Post subject: Re: nba playoff stuff!

> NBA Playoff GAME THREE division home favorites of -4 < points off BB SU losses (Charlotte Bobcats) have gone 1-12 ATS since 1998



> Dallas Mavericks: 20-7-1 ATS dog off a loss in the playoffs, including 7-1 ATS as a dog of 7 or more points. Oklahoma City Thunder: 3-16-1 ATS playoffs versus foe off ATS loss 16 or more points
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PostPosted: Sun Apr 24, 2016 1:32 am    Post subject: Re: nba playoff stuff!

Thanks for posting POI
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PostPosted: Sun Apr 24, 2016 4:17 am    Post subject: Re: nba playoff stuff!

The NBA Playoffs often find many twists and turns when it comes to handicapping the postseason. One of the more enlightening is when teams are winless in a series and are about to be swept.

How do they respond? We put the question to our all-knowing, well-oiled database and the results are clearly definitive. Take a look.

These are results for teams in Game Four of a playoff series, down 0-3. All results are since 1991 and are SU (Straight Up), ATS Against The Spread), and in Over / Under total sequence unless noted otherwise.

Home:

24-39 SU and 26-34-3 ATS

30-31-2 Over / Under

22-20-2 ATS dog

3-14-1 ATS favorite

Away:

2-7 SU and ATS

8-1 Over / Under

2-7 ATS dog

0-0 ATS favorite

As you can see it’s out with the old and in with the new when it comes to teams staving off elimination in Game Four of a best of seven playoff series – especially when favored to win.

FYI: dogs of more than 8 points are 0-6 SU and 1-5 ATS while teams off an ATS win are 0-6 SU and 0-5-1 ATS. Meanwhile, games with an Over / Under total of more than 210 points are 5-1 OVER.
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PostPosted: Sun Apr 24, 2016 9:05 am    Post subject: Re: nba playoff stuff!

San Antonio Spurs (55-27) at Memphis Grizzlies (42-40)

NBA: Sunday, April 24, 2016, at 1:00 p.m. ET

Line: San Antonio -13

Over/Under: 183

The San Antonio Spurs travel to FedExForum to take on the Memphis Grizzlies for game four on Sunday afternoon. On Friday night, the Spurs topped the Grizzlies 96-87. San Antonio has held Memphis to 37 percent shooting through the first three contests. It has been an ugly grind it out series that the Spurs have been in full control of. Memphis has struggled since losing Marc Gasol and Mike Conley – their two best players. It doesn’t help that they are playing the best defense in the league in the Spurs. San Antonio allowed only 92.9 points a game this season.

Kawhi Leonard strives in the postseason as he showed in 2014 when he won the Finals MVP. On Friday night, Leonard put together an outstanding all-around effort with 32 points on 6-of-9 from 3-point range. The 25-year-old All-Star also had seven rebounds, four steals, and five blocks. LaMarcus Aldridge was solid going for 16 points and 10 rebounds. The Spurs shot 46 percent from the field while allowing the Grizzlies to shoot 42 percent. Danny Green and Manu Ginobili added 11 points apiece in the win. San Antonio committed just nine turnovers while the Grizzlies had 14.


In the first two games of the series, the Grizzlies failed to reach 75 point, but on Friday night they were a little better offensively. Unfortunately, they only scored 87 points. Zach Randolph had his best game of the series going for 20 points and 11 rebounds. In the first two games, Randolph combined for just 17 points and 17 rebounds. Matt Barnes had a strong game,as he wound up with 17 points and 11 rebounds. The Grizzlies did a good job on the glass as they out-rebounded the Spurs 48-39. If the Grizzlies want to have any shot of winning game four they must get big production from Barnes and Randolph once again.

Trends:

The San Antonio Spurs are:

10-4 ATS in their last 14 vs. NBA Southwest.
6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings.
7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings in Memphis.

The Memphis Grizzlies are:

1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 Conference Quarterfinals games.
1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss.
0-4 ATS in their last 4 Sunday games.

The pick: San Antonio

The Spurs will win this game easily as the Grizzlies know they are done. Game fours can be difficult for teams that are down 3-0 in the series. I expect Leonard to be magnificent once again in a convincing Spurs win.
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PostPosted: Sun Apr 24, 2016 9:08 am    Post subject: Re: nba playoff stuff!

Golden State Warriors (73-9) at Houston Rockets (41-41)

NBA: Sunday, April 24, 2016, at 3:30 p.m. ET

Line: Golden State -8

Over/Under: 216.5

The Golden State Warriors travel to Toyota Center to take on the Houston Rockets for game four on Sunday afternoon. The Warriors are optimistic that Stephen Curry will play as he is dealing with an ankle injury. Houston won game three 97-96 after James Harden connected on a midrange jumper with two seconds to play. A Rockets win in game four would certainly put them in position to have a shot of winning the series while a Warriors win would likely end the series.

With Curry out for game three, multiple Warriors were going to have to step up in his absence. One player that elevated his play tremendously was Marreese Speights. Speights wound up with 22 points in only 18 minutes off the bench. Point guard Shaun Livingston filled in nicely for Curry, adding 16 points and five rebounds. However, the Warriors connected on just 6-of-25 from 3-point range. Shooting guard Klay Thompson scored 17 points but he missed all seven of his three-point attempts. It was the first time in 24 games that Thompson didn’t make a three-point shot. Golden State was out-rebounded 52-43 in the contest.

The Houston Rockets picked up a much-needed victory on Thursday night, thanks to the stellar play of James Harden. Harden not only made the game-winning shot but he went for 35 points, nine assists, and eight rebounds. Houston shot only 39 percent from the field but they held the Warriors to 43 percent shooting. Donatas Motiejunas had a strong effort with 14 points and 13 rebounds in the win. Dwight Howard played with a lot of energy in the contest finishing with 13 points and 13 rebounds. Houston struggled with turnovers as they had 16 in the game.

Trends:

The Golden State Warriors are:

4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS loss.
4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
19-7 ATS in their last 26 Conference Quarterfinals games.

The Houston Rockets are:

2-7 ATS in their last 9 games following a straight up win.
2-7 ATS in their last 9 games following a ATS win.

The pick: Golden State -8

The Warriors will come out with some fire after getting upset on Thursday night. Even if Curry doesn’t play I still expect the Warriors to take care of business against a Houston team that doesn’t seem to be on the same page. Harden should play well once again but don’t expect Thompson to remain cold from the outside.
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PostPosted: Sun Apr 24, 2016 9:11 am    Post subject: Re: nba playoff stuff!

Atlanta Hawks 50-35 (43-41 ATS) at Boston Celtics 49-36 (44-40 ATS)

When and Where: Sunday, April 24, TD Garden, Boston, Mass. 6:00pm EDT (TNT)

After nearly pulling the road upset in Game 1, the Celtics were barely competitive in their 17-point Game 2 loss. Boston finally got on track in Game 3, beating the Hawks 111-103 in Beantown. The Celtics took a 17-point lead and cruised to the eight-point win behind Isaiah Thomas‘s 42 points. Atlanta will be looking to prevent Boston from evening up the series in Game 4 in Boston.

The Hawks hopes of taking a 3-0 series lead were dashed Friday night, and if they want to go up 3-1 on Sunday, they will need to figure out a way to slow down Isaiah Thomas. Atlanta did not go away quietly. They trailed by as many as 19 points in the third quarter before battling back and tying things up at 96 apiece. The Hawks, however, were spent after the comeback and failed to score a field goal over the final 3:51. Paul Millsap averaged 22.5 points per game during the regular season against the Celtics but has scored just 26 total this whole series, while shooting 4 for 21 from the floor in the last two games. Al Horford has been the offense sparkplug, averaging 20.5 points and shooting 50 percent from the field.

Boston showed up to game four short-handed and playing against a team playing record-setting defense . . . and won. The team has had one of the league’s best home records over the last three months and showed why on Friday night. The Celtics shot just 31.8 percent from the field, and 5-28 from distance in the Game 2 loss, but Isaiah Thomas put an end to all that noise in Game 3, going off for 42 points. Boston led by as many as 20 in the first half, and 19 in the third quarter before the Hawks battled back and tied things up. The Celtics turned the defense up in the end before ultimately winning behind eight. Thomas is the ninth Celtic in playoff history to score at least 40 points. Forward Kelly Olnyk missed his second straight game with a shoulder injury. He remains questionable for Game 4, and Avery Bradley is almost certainly out with hamstring issues.

Trends:

Atlanta is:

12-5 ATS in their last 17 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game
13-6 ATS in their last 19 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game

Boston is:

2-5 ATS in their last 7 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
1-4 ATS in their last 5 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
1-5 ATS in their last 6 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game

Pick: Atlanta +1

This is probably the best opening round series in the playoffs this season, as far as the teams being evenly matched. That being said, it is doubtful that the home side will win every game in this series and if a road team is going to steal one, this will probably be the one.
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PostPosted: Sun Apr 24, 2016 9:16 am    Post subject: Re: nba playoff stuff!

Cleveland Cavaliers 60-25 (39-43 ATS) at Detroit Pistons 44-41 (43-40 ATS)

When and Where: Sunday, April 24, The Palace of Auburn Hills, Detroit, Mich. 8:30pm EDT (TNT)

The Cavaliers and Pistons square off at The Palace at Auburn Hills in Game 4 of the Eastern Conference quarterfinals with Cleveland going for the series sweep. While Cleveland is trying to bring out the broom, every game has been competitive. Even in Game 2, when Detroit ultimately lost by 17, they still led at halftime. Last time out, the Pistons trailed by just one at the break, and were down 95-90 in the closing minutes before dropping a 101-91 decision

Cleveland eased to a 3-0 lead in their best-of-seven series behinds Kyrie Irving’s 26 points. LeBron James added 20 points, 13 rebounds, and seven assists in the victory. The third member of the Cavs’ “Big Three,” Kevin Love, pitched in a double-double of his own with 20 points and 12 rebounds. In 180 postseason games, LeBron James is averaging 28.2 points, 8.7 rebounds, and 6.7 assists. Love has three double-doubles in the series and is averaging 21.3 points and 11.7 assists. Irving is averaging 26.3, well above his regular season average of 19.6. Cleveland has now won 11 straight playoff meetings with Detroit, dating back to the Eastern Conference Finals in 2007.

If Detroit loses their 12th straight postseason game to Cleveland, it will tie an NBA record. The Pistons have been closer to snapping that streak than it seems. They took three of four regular-season meetings, and have been in every single game of the series. The problem for the Pistons has been the second half. Overall, Detroit holds a two-point edge in the first half, but has been outscored 152-118 over the final 24 minutes of the last three games. On Friday they were outrebounded 46-32 despite finishing the season as the league’s second best rebounding team. Overall they are getting outrebounded in the series by an average of 41 to 36.3. Shooting from beyond the arc has been an issue as well, as they have managed to hit just 10 of 40 shots from distance, while the Cavs have made 32-of-67 from 3-point range.

Trends:

Cleveland is:

6-1 ATS in their last 7 games playing on 1 days rest
4-1 ATS in their last 5 Conference Quarterfinals games
6-2 ATS in their last 8 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game
5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up win

Detroit is:

4-12-1 ATS in their last 17 games playing on 1 days rest
1-6 ATS in their last 7 Conference Quarterfinals games

Pick: Cleveland -6

Detroit has punched above their weight class in this series and hung in there, however, they just do not have the firepower that Cleveland possesses. While they have shown they can keep it close, they have not been able to show a killer instinct and close the show. The Cavaliers, have shown exactly that, and you can expect them to break out the brooms on Sunday night, completing the series sweep.
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PostPosted: Sun Apr 24, 2016 7:31 pm    Post subject: Re: nba playoff stuff!

StatFox Super Situations

NBA | CLEVELAND at DETROIT
Play Under - All teams where the total is between 190 and 199.5 points poor offensive rebounding team - averaging <=11/game on the season, on Sunday games
416-269 since 1997. ( 60.7% | 120.1 units )
34-13 this year. ( 72.3% | 19.7 units )

NBA | GOLDEN STATE at HOUSTON
Play Against - Home teams vs. the money line (HOUSTON) off a close home win by 3 points or less, with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season
84-63 since 1997. ( 57.1% | 41.5 units )
5-4 this year. ( 55.6% | 1.3 units )

NBA | ATLANTA at BOSTON
Play Under - All teams where the first half total is 100.5 to 105 in a game involving two good free throw shooting teams (76-79%)
254-156 over the last 5 seasons. ( 62.0% | 82.4 units )
84-64 this year. ( 56.8% | 13.6 units )
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PostPosted: Sun Apr 24, 2016 7:50 pm    Post subject: Re: nba playoff stuff!

Thanks POI
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PostPosted: Mon Apr 25, 2016 7:55 am    Post subject: Re: nba playoff stuff!

hey force! Hat tip



NBA

Monday's games

Dallas-Oklahoma City (OC 3-1)
Five Thunder subs were combined +43 in 11-point win in Game 4; Oklahoma City won seven of last eight games with Dallas-- Mavs are 7-7 vs spread in last 14 series games. Nine of last twelve series games went over. 10 of last 13 Dallas games stayed under total. Kanter had 28 points off bench in Game 4, making 12-13 from field for Thunder. Dallas is 3-2 vs spread in its last five visits here.

Charlotte-Miami (M 2-1)
Hornets lost five of last eight games with Miami (over 6-1); in series where home side won nine of last 1 games (3-0 in this series). Heat lost four of last five visits here. Hornets are 5-8 in their last 13 games overall against Miami. Charlotte won five of its last eight games (over 7-1); they won their last four home games. Miami won six of its last nine games- they shot over 51% in both Games 1-2, but then just 34.2% in Game 3.- their bench was 4-17

Portland-LA Clippers (LA 2-1)
Home side won all three series games; Lillard/MCollum combined for 59 points in Game 3 win, after losing by 20-21 points in first two series games. Clippers are 8-3 in last 11 series games, 3-2 in last five played in Portland. Blazers are just 21-81 on arc in series; Plumlee had 21 boards last game. Trailblazers won eight of their last 12 games overall; seven of their last nine games stayed under the total.

Playoff tally: Favorites vs spread: 19-11, Over: 9-21
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PostPosted: Mon Apr 25, 2016 8:02 am    Post subject: Re: nba playoff stuff!

Monday's Tip Sheet
By Kevin Rogers

Eastern Conference – Game 4 (Heat lead 2-1)
Miami at Charlotte (-2 ½, 195) – 7:05 PM EST – NBATV

The Heat shot lights out in each of their first two victories over the Hornets by scoring 123 and 115 points. Miami’s offense cooled off in Saturday’s Game 3 blowout loss at Charlotte, as the Hornets used an 18-0 third quarter run to rout the Heat, 96-80 as three-point home favorites.

Miami put up 28 points in the first quarter of Game 3, but was held to 30 points over the next two quarters to suffer its loss in the opening round since 2012. Luol Deng led the Heat with 19 points on 5-of-6 shooting from three-point range, but Dwyane Wade, Joe Johnson, and Goran Dragic combined to shoot 14-of-44 from the field. The Miami bench received 15 points from rookie Josh Richardson in Game 2, but the non-starters of the Heat put up a combined 16 points in Game 3.

The Hornets didn’t shoot the ball extremely well in Game 3 by converting 39% of their field goal attempts, but picked up an impressive contribution from rookie forward Frank Kaminsky, who scored 15 points. Marvin Williams bounced back from shooting 1-for-17 in the first two losses to put up a double-double with 12 points and 14 rebounds on 5-of-9 shooting. Guard Kemba Walker wasn’t efficient from the floor (4-of-19), but finished with 17 points as the team converted 21-of-22 free throws (Walker 8-8).

Charlotte improved to 17-3 SU and 12-8 ATS the last 20 games at Time Warner Cable Arena, although five of those ATS losses came as a favorite of nine points or more. Steve Clifford’s team cashed their sixth ‘under’ in the last eight home contests, while all three home matchups with Miami this season have finished ‘under’ the total.

The Heat have not lost consecutive road playoff games to an Eastern Conference opponent since dropping two straight at Boston in the 2012 conference finals. Since 2012, Erik Spoelstra’s club owns a spectacular 13-2 SU and 12-3 ATS record off a playoff defeat, but the Heat have been limited to less than 100 points in seven consecutive postseason road games.

The Hornets are unsure if swingman Nicolas Batum will miss his second straight game after suffering a sprained ankle towards the end of Game 2. Charlotte is listed at +330 (Bet $100 to win $330) to win the series, while Miami is still in control at -420 odds (Bet $420 to win $100) to advance to the second round.

Western Conference – Game 5 (Thunder lead 3-1)
Dallas at Oklahoma City (-13 ½, 205) – 8:05 PM EST – TNT

The Spurs became the first team to advance to the second round of the playoffs after sweeping the Grizzlies. San Antonio may know its semifinal opponent as early as Monday night if Oklahoma City can finish off Dallas, as the Thunder bounced back from a shocking Game 2 loss to grab consecutive wins at American Airlines Center.

Oklahoma City was limited to 84 points in a one-point defeat in Game 2 last week, but Billy Donovan’s squad picked up the offense in Dallas by scoring 131 points in Game 3, followed by a 119-point effort on Saturday. The Thunder held off the Mavericks, 119-108 to cash as 8 ½-point favorites in Game 4, while eclipsing the ‘over’ of 203 ½. The usual suspects of Russell Westbrook and Kevin Durant combined to score 44 points, but OKC received a 28-point effort off the bench from Enes Kanter on an incredible 12-of-13 shooting from the floor.

The health of the Mavericks is deteriorating by the day as point guard Deron Williams lasted less than two minutes before leaving Game 4 with a sports hernia. Williams has been bothered by that injury throughout the series, while fellow guard J.J. Barea was scoreless on 0-for-7 shooting off the bench for Dallas. The Mavericks managed to shoot 52% from the field in the loss, as Dirk Nowitzki scored a team-high 27 points to bust the 20-point mark for the first time in the series.

The Thunder have covered three of four games in this series, including Game 1 as a 12-point favorite as all three victories by OKC have come by at least 11 points. Oklahoma City has covered seven of its past nine games overall, while compiling a 6-4 ATS record as a double-digit home favorite since January. Since 2012, the Thunder have won and covered in six of eight opportunities to close out a series, including a 3-1 SU/ATS mark at home.

In two road elimination games since winning the championship in 2011, the Mavericks haven’t fared very well. In 2014, Dallas was blown out in Game 7 at San Antonio, 119-96, while the Mavericks lost to the Rockets last season in the opening round, 103-94.

Western Conference – Game 4 (Clippers lead 2-1)
Los Angeles (-2 ½, 206 ½) at Portland – 10:35 PM EST – TNT

The Clippers jumped out to a 2-0 series advantage over the Blazers following a pair of 20+ point victories at Staples Center. Portland crept back into the series by holding Los Angeles to below 100 points for the first time in the series in Saturday’s 96-88 triumph at the Moda Center as 1 ½-point underdogs.

The dynamic duo of Damian Lillard and C.J. McCollum finally got their shooting in order as they combined for 59 points on 21-of-42 from the floor in Game 3. McCollum put up 25 points total in the first two games of this series before scoring 27 points on Saturday, while Lillard improved his scoring average to 30.0 points per game in seven career home playoff games. Portland outrebounded Los Angeles, 56-44 in Game 3, thanks to Mason Plumlee grabbing 21 rebounds in the victory.

The Clippers struggled from three-point range by knocking down 3-of-18 attempts from downtown, including a 2-of-7 effort from Chris Paul. The Clippers’ All-Star guard paced the Clippers with 26 points, while Jamal Crawford chipped in 19 points off the bench, but Los Angeles was limited to 41% shooting from the floor. Los Angeles dropped to 5-12 in their past 17 road playoff games, including four consecutive losses since the second round of the 2015 postseason.

Doc Rivers’ squad closed out last postseason with a 7-1 mark to the ‘over’ in their final eight games, but have finished ‘under’ the total in all three contests against the Blazers. Portland has gone the opposite way from a totals perspective since the second round of the 2014 playoffs by going ‘under’ the total in eight of the past 10 postseason contests.

Since the Blazers took a 2-0 series lead over the Rockets in the opening round of the 2014 playoffs, Portland has put together a dreadful 3-13-1 ATS record in the last 17 postseason contests, including a 3-5 ATS mark at the Moda Center. Terry Stotts’ team is 0-4 SU/ATS the last four playoff games off a home win since 2014 with three of the losses coming by double-digits.
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PostPosted: Mon Apr 25, 2016 8:03 am    Post subject: Re: nba playoff stuff!

StatFox Super Situations

NBA | LA CLIPPERS at PORTLAND
Play On - Road favorites (LA CLIPPERS) revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a road favorite, off a upset loss as a favorite
79-40 since 1997. ( 66.4% | 35.0 units )
2-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 2.0 units )

NBA | MIAMI at CHARLOTTE
Play On - Any team vs the money line (CHARLOTTE) an explosive offensive team (>=102 PPG) against a good offensive team (98-102 PPG), after allowing 80 points or less
51-20 since 1997. ( 71.8% | 27.8 units )
5-3 this year. ( 62.5% | 1.8 units )

NBA | LA CLIPPERS at PORTLAND
Play Against - Home teams where the 1rst half line is +1.5 to -1.5 (PORTLAND) off an upset win as an underdog against opponent off a road loss
60-27 over the last 5 seasons. ( 69.0% | 30.3 units )
5-4 this year. ( 55.6% | 0.6 units )
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PostPosted: Mon Apr 25, 2016 8:06 am    Post subject: Re: nba playoff stuff!

Monday's NBA playoffs betting preview and odds

The Oklahoma City Thunder will be looking to finish of their series with the Dallas Mavericks Monday night. In the other two games, the Miami Heat will attempt to go up 3-1 on the Hornets and the Clippers will work on doing the same against the Blazers.

Miami Heat at Charlotte Hornets (-3, 195.5)

Heat lead series 2-1

The Miami Heat set a historic offensive pace in the first two games of their first round series before crashing back to earth in Game 3. The Charlotte Hornets will try to put together back-to-back solid defensive efforts and even the series at two wins apiece when they host the Heat in Game 4 on Tuesday.

Miami scored a franchise playoff-record 123 points in a Game 1 win and followed it up with a 115-103 triumph in Game 2, but the Hornets turned up the defense and held the Heat to 34.2 percent from the field in a 96-80 triumph on Saturday. The victory snapped a 14-year drought between playoff wins for Charlotte franchises, though the team was focusing on the future instead of the past. "This isn't about winning one playoff game, it's about winning a playoff series," Hornets coach Steve Clifford told reporters. "This gives us a chance." Miami will need to make an adjustment after Charlotte went to a bigger lineup and pushed its way to the win up front.

TV: 7 p.m. ET, NBATV, FSN Sun (Miami)

LINE HISTORY: The Hornets opened as 2.5-point favorites and the line was bumped up to -3 by Sunday afternoon. The total opened at 195 and was also bumped up a half point to 195.5. Check out the complete line history here.

ABOUT THE HEAT (50-35, 45-39-1 ATS, 36-48-1 O/U): Miami burned the Hornets in the first two games by putting Luol Deng at power forward but were on the receiving end of some physical play in Game 3. “They went really big and caught us off guard,” Heat center Hassan Whiteside told reporters. “We were prepared for Al Jefferson to post up, but they posted up on our guards. They got us into foul trouble, and that was tough. But we know what they do now. We know what they’re looking for and we can hone on that. Now we know what their different lineups are going to look like.” Whiteside left Saturday’s game in the fourth quarter with a quad bruise before sitting out practice on Sunday and is considered questionable for Game 4.

ABOUT THE HORNETS (49-36, 43-41-1 ATS, 42-41-2 O/U): Charlotte lost starting guard Nicolas Batum to an ankle injury in Game 2 but instead of inserting another guard into the lineup for Game 3 went big with 7-0 center Frank Kaminsky. The rookie only attempted one field goal in a combined 37 minutes in the first two games but finished with 15 points in 35 minutes in Game 3. “He just kept playing,” Clifford told reporters of Kaminsky. “He had the right attitude. Playing basketball is no different than anything else. You have the right attitude, you give yourself a chance to get going when things don’t go your way.”

TRENDS:

* Heat are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 road games.
* Hornets are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 Conference Quarterfinals games.
* Under is 8-1 in Heat last 9 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points.
* Over is 7-1 in Hornets last 8 vs. Eastern Conference.


Dallas Mavericks at Oklahoma City (-13.5, 205)

Thunder lead series 3-1

The third-seeded Oklahoma City Thunder will attempt to close out their first-round series against the Dallas Mavericks on Monday and may have to do so without All-Star small forward Kevin Durant. A flagrant 2 foul got Durant ejected late in Saturday's 119-108 road win over the sixth-seeded Mavericks and he now faces the possibility of being suspended for Game 5.

Durant was called for the flagrant 2 after trying to contest a shot by Dallas guard Justin Anderson and smacking him the rookie in the face with his forearm. "I wasn't trying to hurt him," Durant told reporters afterward. "Plenty of plays this season where I blocked shots like that from behind. Just unfortunate I fouled him over the head. It was a flagrant, even though I wasn't trying to intentionally foul him. The refs had to make a decision and they made the right one. It was just bad timing." Mavericks forward Dirk Nowitzki is playing with a bruised knee and will be trying to keep his team alive after excelling with 27 points and eight rebounds in Game 4. "Hey, we've all got to enjoy it while we can," Dallas coach Rick Carlisle said after Game 4. "We're seeing one of the most special athletes in sports history and doing it at an amazingly high level at really an advanced stage in his career."

TV: 8 p.m. ET, TNT, KTXA (Dallas), FSN Oklahoma

LINE HISTORY: The Thunder opened as massive 13-point favorites for this home court elimination game, but it appears that 13 points wasn't enough for the betting public as the books bumped the line to -13.5 early Sunday morning. The total opened at 205 and hasn't moved at this point. Check out the complete line history here.

ABOUT THE MAVERICKS (43-43, 46-39-1 ATS, 41-44-1 O/U): Point guard Deron Williams (sports hernia) departed just 89 seconds into Game 4 after aggravating the injury and will miss the rest of the series. "I think he's done for the year," Carlisle told reporters. "That's what I think. I don't expect him to play in Game 5." Point guard J.J. Berea (groin) missed all seven of his shots while struggling through a scoreless Game 4 and Dallas will again rely heavily on Raymond Felton, who had 19 points and 11 assists on Saturday and is averaging 19.3 points over the past three games.

ABOUT THE THUNDER (58-28, 40-45-1 ATS, 41-45 O/U): Point guard Russell Westbrook had 25 points and 15 assists and has recorded double-doubles in all four games of the series. Westbrook scored 22 of Oklahoma City's 32 third-quarter points as he helped the Thunder maintain the quicker pace and not let the game settle into the low-scoring affair (85-84 in Game 2) that resulted in Dallas' lone victory. "The name of the game is come out and play basketball and that's what we've done the last two games, especially here," Westbrook told reporters. "We know a lot of their game is to kind of muck up the game and I think we're doing a great job of staying above it."

TRENDS:

* Mavericks are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 Conference Quarterfinals games.
* Thunder are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. Western Conference.
* Under is 6-1 in Mavericks last 7 road games.
* Mavericks are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
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PostPosted: Mon Apr 25, 2016 8:28 am    Post subject: Re: nba playoff stuff!

Miami Heat 50-35 (45-39 ATS) at Charlotte Hornets 49-36 (43-41 ATS)

When and Where: Monday, April 25, Time Warner Cable Arena, Charlotte, N.C. 7:00pm EDT

After convincing victories in the first two games of this best-of-seven series, the Heat ran into a determined Hornets squad in Game 3. Leading by just five at the half, Charlotte used a 26-14 third quarter to blow the game wide open before ultimately prevailing 96-80. Game 4 is also in the Tar Heel State, where Miami has lost four of fives games against the Hornets this season.

Miami did not exactly put together a solid performance in Game 3. They turned the ball over 15 times, and shot just 19-30 from the free-throw line. The Heat have dominated this series in recent years, winning 26 of the last 31 against Charlotte, but four of those five Hornets‘ wins have come in the last five meetings in Charlotte. The squad has now lost six of their last eight road games. While they looked unbeatable at home, shooting 57.8 percent in the series first two games (including 52.9 from beyond the arc), they seriously cooled off in Game 3. The Heat shot just 34.2 overall, and 31.8 percent from 3-point range in the 16-point loss. Luol Deng scored 19 points in defeat and is averaging 22 points and seven rebounds per game in the series. Hassan Whiteside missed Sunday’s practice with a bruised right thigh, but is still expected to play Monday night.

Charlotte head coach Steve Clifford was approached by both team owner Michael Jordan, and assistant coach Patrick Ewing after their Game 2 loss, and told they should put Frank Kaminsky in the post. The 7-foot rookie had attempted just one shot through the series first two games, but played a pivotal role in Saturday’s win. He ended up playing 34 minutes and finished with 15 points and six rebounds. Nine of those points came during an 18-0 run in the third quarter that broke a tie and gave the Hornets a commanding lead they would not relinquish. The team shot just 38.9 percent from the floor but committed just four turnovers, a franchise record. They also were a near perfect 21-22 from the charity stripe. Nicolas Batum, who went down in Game 2 with an ankle injury is hopeful for Game 4.

trends:

Miami is:

6-0 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points
5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up loss
5-1 ATS in their last 6 Monday games
4-1 ATS in their last 5 Conference Quarterfinals games

Charlotte is:

2-8 ATS in their last 10 Conference Quarterfinals games
1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points
1-4 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 1 days rest
1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up win

Pick: Miami +2.5

As good as the Heat played in the first two games, they played just as bad in their Game 3 loss. So bad, as a matter of fact, that it would be hard to match that performance in Game 4. Despite the poor play, it was really only an 18-0 run in the third quarter that separated the teams. If Miami can avoid allowing another run like that, and shoot better, they should jump to a 3-1 series lead.
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PostPosted: Mon Apr 25, 2016 8:31 am    Post subject: Re: nba playoff stuff!

Los Angeles Clippers (53-29) at Portland Trail Blazers (44-38)

NBA: Monday, April 25, 2016, at 10:30 p.m. ET

Line: N/A

Over/Under: N/A

The Los Angeles Clippers travel to Moda Center to take on the Portland Trail Blazers for game four on Monday night. On Saturday night, the Trail Blazers beat the Clippers 96-88. A Trail Blazers would’ve basically ended the series now they have a shot of turning it into a best of seven series. The difference in the contest was rebounding as the Trail Blazers out-rebounded the Clippers 56-44. Mason Plumlee was the key as he finished with six points, 21 rebounds, and nine assists.

As I mentioned before the Clippers were owned on the glass against a hungry Trail Blazers team. DeAndre Jordan had a good performance going for 11 points and 16 rebounds. It was Blake Griffin who disappointed as he wound up with 12 points and seven rebounds. The 27-year-old only made 5-of-16 from the field. Los Angeles only shot 41 percent from the field. Chris Paul had 26 points and nine assists while Jamal Crawford added 19 points off the bench. J.J. Redick struggled going 2-for-10 from the floor for five points.

The Portland Trail Blazers picked up a much-needed win on Saturday night. The backcourt of Damian Lillard and C.J. McCollum finally played the way they’re capable of playing. Lillard tied a playoff career-high with 32 points on 10-of-20 shooting. McCollum went for 27 points and five rebounds in the win. The duo averaged only 31.5 points combined in the first two games. Neither teams shot the three-point shot ball well. Portland made 6-of-25 from deep while the Clippers only made 3-of-18. Maurice Harkless went for 10 points and seven rebounds in the win.

Trends:

The Los Angeles Clippers are:

4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS loss.
5-0 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 1 days rest.
6-1 ATS in their last 7 vs. NBA Northwest.
9-3 ATS in their last 12 vs. Western Conference.

The Portland Trail Blazers are:

6-19-2 ATS in their last 27 Conference Quarterfinals games.
1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
2-8 ATS in their last 10 games following a ATS win.

The pick: Los Angeles

I expect the Clippers to get the better of Portland in this one. Griffin should bounce back and lead the Clippers to a narrow win. Lillard will have another big game but it won’t be enough for Portland.
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PostPosted: Mon Apr 25, 2016 11:00 am    Post subject: Re: nba playoff stuff!

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PostPosted: Mon Apr 25, 2016 11:01 am    Post subject: Re: nba playoff stuff!

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PostPosted: Mon Apr 25, 2016 7:40 pm    Post subject: Re: nba playoff stuff!

NBA
Long Sheet

Monday, April 25

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MIAMI (50 - 35) at CHARLOTTE (49 - 36) - 4/25/2016, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHARLOTTE is 22-7 ATS (+14.3 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 153-118 ATS (+23.2 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game since 1996.
MIAMI is 24-14 ATS (+8.6 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
MIAMI is 36-27 ATS (+6.3 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 12-7 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 14-5 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
12 of 19 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DALLAS (43 - 43) at OKLAHOMA CITY (58 - 28) - 4/25/2016, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 29-43 ATS (-18.3 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 38-53 ATS (-20.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 19-36 ATS (-20.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 27-40 ATS (-17.0 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 347-281 ATS (+37.9 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
DALLAS is 463-384 ATS (+40.6 Units) in road games since 1996.
DALLAS is 71-47 ATS (+19.3 Units) in road games against Northwest division opponents since 1996.
DALLAS is 183-144 ATS (+24.6 Units) in road games revenging a loss vs opponent since 1996.
DALLAS is 137-103 ATS (+23.7 Units) in road games after allowing 105 points or more since 1996.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 26-37 ATS (-14.7 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA CITY is 8-7 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA CITY is 9-6 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
9 of 15 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LA CLIPPERS (55 - 30) at PORTLAND (45 - 40) - 4/25/2016, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA CLIPPERS are 84-116 ATS (-43.6 Units) after 3 or more consecutive unders since 1996.
LA CLIPPERS are 192-251 ATS (-84.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
PORTLAND is 54-34 ATS (+16.6 Units) as a home underdog of 3 points or less since 1996.
PORTLAND is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) off an upset win as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
PORTLAND is 7-7 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS is 9-5 straight up against PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
8 of 14 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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PostPosted: Mon Apr 25, 2016 10:39 pm    Post subject: Re: nba playoff stuff!

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PostPosted: Tue Apr 26, 2016 7:00 am    Post subject: Re: nba playoff stuff!

Preview: Pacers (45-37) at Raptors (56-26)

Date: April 26, 2016 6:00 PM EDT

A lineup change revitalized the Indiana Pacers and helped them tie up their first-round series with the Toronto Raptors.

The change the Raptors would like to see is for DeMar DeRozan and Kyle Lowry to wake up from some series-long woes.

These teams were also involved in a scuffle toward the end of the last matchup, and the tension only figures to be raised Tuesday night in a pivotal Game 5 in Toronto.

Indiana moved forward Myles Turner into the lineup in place of Lavoy Allen in Saturday's 100-83 rout. The Pacers held a rebounding edge for the first time in this series at 43-40, limiting Jonas Valanciunas to six after he totaled 48 in the first three games.

"I think our just general team awareness of the ways Jonas is hurting us is why we did better in Game 4 and it's gonna be a battle the entire series," Indiana coach Frank Vogel said.

While Valanciunas was bottled up on the glass, the production by DeRozan and Lowry remained consistent for Toronto - and it's not nearly good enough. The two All-Star guards were a combined 8 of 27 from the field and 0 for 7 on 3s for a total of 20 points.

Lowry is averaging 15.5 points on 32.2 percent shooting while DeRozan is at 13.3 points and 29.6 percent in the series.

"Give Indiana credit, they've done a good job on DeMar and Kyle," Raptors coach Dwane Casey said. "But we haven't seen their best, they know that and it may not be by scoring points, it may be by moving the basketball, it may be by helping defensively."

The Pacers are using Paul George to defend DeRozan and George Hill to slow down Lowry. They are wary that the Raptors duo, which averaged a combined 44.7 points during the regular season, may be due to break out.

"The efficiency has not been great for those guys but we're not comfortable in any way as good as those guys are," Vogel said. "We're going to continue to fine tune what we're doing with those guys, with the plan, George and Paul are doing a good job on them, but it's more than that, it's gotta be a team effort."

Hill and Ian Mahinmi, who is listed as questionable but expected to play through a back injury, each scored 22 points Saturday in a series that is getting nastier as it is progresses.

A scuffle developed with 5:03 left after Valanciunas gave George a small shove underneath the basket. George responded with words and then DeMarre Carroll ran into the gathering crowd. All three players drew technical fouls, including George's second in two games.

Toronto's Patrick Patterson also was assessed a technical in Game 4. Game 3 featured three technicals on Indiana after the first two games in Toronto saw neither team get one.

"I'm looking at flagrant fouls, Jonas Valanciunas gets cracked across the head and again, I've got to get an understanding, and the officials didn't review it but they were hitting us going through the lane and DeMar DeRozan shoots zero free throws with the same drive," Casey said.

DeRozan has failed to reach the line twice in this series after ranking third in the league in free-throw attempts.

Casey refused to acknowledge that the Pacers lineup change with Turner was a factor. Instead, the coach claimed that Monta Ellis had a huge impact despite a second straight seven-point effort; Ellis scored 15 in each of the first two games.

"I thought the guy who had the most effect on the game and didn't score a lot of points was Monta Ellis," Casey said. "His speed of pushing the ball down the floor, getting down the floor impacted the game as much as anything else. We have to look at that."

George has been the star of the series with 26.3 points per game and 36 free-throw attempts compared to 15 for DeRozan. He totaled 61 points on 54.1 percent shooting in the first two games in Toronto before averaging 22.0 points on 34.3 percent shooting in two at home.

"Toronto's a very hostile environment, hostile crowd," George said. "Game 5 is going to be about taking their crowd out of the equation."
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PostPosted: Tue Apr 26, 2016 7:01 am    Post subject: Re: nba playoff stuff!

Preview: Celtics (48-34) at Hawks (48-34)

Date: April 26, 2016 8:30 PM EDT

The Boston Celtics have a different look since their last visit to Atlanta, and so does their playoff series with the Hawks.

Let down by their usually dependable defense in the past two matchups, the Hawks may have to rely on home-court advantage to regain their lost momentum when the series shifts back to Philips Arena for Tuesday night's pivotal Game 5.

Done in by poor starts and inefficient shooting in losing the first two in Atlanta, Boston has been harder to defend since Brad Stevens inserted Jonas Jerebko and Evan Turner into starting roles prior to Friday's Game 3. The Celtics have shot 44.3 percent since the switch after being held to 34.2 percent in Games 1 and 2.

Jerebko, who averaged 4.4 points and 15.1 minutes during the regular season, has emerged as the unlikely X-factor to Boston's resurgence. The stretch forward totaled 27 points and 22 rebounds in the two home wins, and his ability to create space has allowed Isaiah Thomas to be more productive in attacking the basket.

Thomas' career-high 42 points helped Boston turn the tide with a 111-103 win in Game 3, and the All-Star guard scored 18 of his 28 during the second half and overtime as the Celtics rallied for a 104-95 victory in Sunday's Game 4.

Down 62-46 early in the third quarter, Boston shot 56.4 percent the rest of the way to even the series. Jerebko contributed 15 points on 6-of-7 shooting after halftime and Marcus Smart had 13 of his 20 points following the break.

"I think one of our most redeeming qualities as a team is the guys are really â?? they're fighters," Stevens said. "They never give up. They play to the end, even in games where we didn't really have it they've done that."

Smart also neutralized Paul Millsap down the stretch, limiting the versatile forward to four points over the final 14 minutes and none in overtime after Stevens changed the defensive assignments in the fourth quarter.

Millsap amassed 26 first-half points and finished with a playoff career-high 45 along with 13 rebounds.

"They got us out of whack," Hawks guard Kyle Korver said. "They put Marcus Smart on Paul and we just tried to force it to him and at times took us out of what we had been doing. Give them credit. They played really well and made some plays down the stretch."

Stevens' next task will be improving his team's play in Atlanta, where the Celtics are 0-4 this season and have lost in six straight visits. They were a woeful 3 of 23 from the field during a seven-point first quarter in Game 2 and shot 26.9 percent to trail by 11 through one period of a 102-101 loss in Game 1.

"The most important thing for us, we got to start the games better, especially on the road," Thomas said. "If we start just halfway decent on the road we'll be alright."

Boston was able to overcome a 14-0 Hawks' run to begin the second half of Game 4.

For Mike Budenholzer, the goal will be finding consistent scoring to complement Millsap. Al Horford has 13 points over the last two games after scoring 41 in the two wins, Jeff Teague finished 4 of 18 in Game 4 and top bench options Dennis Schroder and Thabo Sefolosha were a combined 3 for 17.

"I just think we needed a little bit more with him, collectively from all of us, a little more to help Paul," Budenholzer said. "They responded to being down 2-0 and now we've got to go home and respond."

Stevens said he doesn't expect Avery Bradley to return Tuesday from his Game 1 hamstring injury.
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PostPosted: Tue Apr 26, 2016 7:06 am    Post subject: Re: nba playoff stuff!

NBA Odds: Tuesday, April 26 2016 Opening Line Report and Handicapping
by Alan Matthews

I'm guessing that a sportsbook or two will offer a prop on the next coach of the Los Angeles Lakers because they did a couple of years ago before the team hired Byron Scott. He was informed late Sunday night that he wouldn't be brought back. Really no reason to keep him around now that Kobe Bryant is gone -- that was basically a keep Kobe happy hiring. It's still a prime job even though the Lakers just had their two worst seasons in franchise history. But if I'm a top head coach with interest, I wait until after the draft lottery and see if the Lakers get to keep their first-round pick. If the lottery went chalk, the Lakers would pick No. 2. But if they drop to fourth or worse, it goes to Philadelphia. The Lakers probably will go first after current Warriors assistant Luke Walton, a former Lakers player. He's a disciple of Phil Jackson, who is rumored to possibly return to the team in a year when girlfriend Jeanie Buss takes over the day-to-day running of it from her brother.

Game 5: No. 7 Pacers at No. 2 Raptors (-7, 192)

All four games in this 2-2 series have been decided by double digits after Indiana's 100-83 home victory on Saturday. Congratulations if you had Pacers center Ian Mahinmi and guard George Hill combining for 44 points on excellent 18-for-25 shooting in that one because I sure didn't. They were the biggest reason for the result after neither did much in the first three games. Not sure you can count on that again if a Pacers backer -- Mahinmi's 22 points were a career high and he added 10 rebounds and five assists. Paul George added 19 points after scoring at least 25 in each of the first three games.

What's up with Toronto's All-Star backcourt of Kyle Lowry and DeMar DeRozan? The former was 4-for-12 from the field (0-for-5 from 3-point range) for just 12 points in Game 4 and the latter 4-for-15 (0-for-2 from long range) for eight points and six turnovers. DeRozan and Lowry are averaging 28.8 points combined during the postseason, compared to 44.7 during the regular season. They are shooting a combined 30.8 percent from the field, the worst field goal percentage by any starting backcourt this postseason. DeRozan hasn't gone to the charity stripe in two games this series after ranking third in the NBA in free throw attempts per game during the season. Defensively, Game 4 was only the eighth time Toronto has allowed an opponent to record 50 or more points in the paint this season. The Raptors responded by holding opponents to an average of 38.0 points in the paint in the next game.

Series line: Raptors -325, Pacers +270

Key trends: The Pacers are 2-7 against the spread in their past nine following a double-digit win. The Raptors are 5-0 ATS in their past five after a loss. The "over/under" has gone under in six straight Pacers games and five straight for Toronto.

Early lean: Raptors and under.

Game 5: No. 5 Celtics at No. 4 Hawks (-7, 199.5)

Much like the above series, this looks to me like one that will go the distance with the home team winning each game. Atlanta really should have put this away in Boston with the Celtics missing Avery Bradley. But Boston evened things up with a 104-95 overtime win on Sunday. Isaiah Thomas followed his 42-point Game 3 with 28 in Game 4. Frankly, I thought he should have been suspended for Game 4 after hitting Hawks guard Dennis Schroder in the face in Game 3. Thomas guarded Jeff Teague on the final play of regulation Sunday and prevented him from getting a shot off. Marcus Smart stepped up and scored 11 of his 20 points in the fourth quarter, helping Boston force overtime. Like Bradley, Smart is a great defender and he limited the Hawks to 1-of-10 shooting overall and forced two turnovers when serving as the primary defender on a guy.

Paul Millsap was brilliant in Game 4 for Atlanta with 45 points, 13 rebounds and four blocks. It was the most points scored by a Hawk in a playoff game since Dominique Wilkins had 47 points in Game 7 at the old Boston Garden in the 1988 Eastern Conference semifinals. Millsap had just 12 combined points in Games 2-3. Smart held Millsap to two baskets in the final nine minutes of regulation and none in overtime. The Hawks, who led by 16 in the third quarter, were 0-5 in OT in the regular season and have not won an overtime game in more than two years.

Series line: Hawks -225, Celtics +195

Key trends: The Celtics are 3-10 ATS in their past 13 road games. The Hawks are 0-5 ATS in their past five after a loss. The under is 13-3 in Boston's past 16 after a win. The under is 4-1 in Atlanta's past five at home.

Early lean: Hawks and under.
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PostPosted: Tue Apr 26, 2016 7:08 am    Post subject: Re: nba playoff stuff!

StatFox Super Situations

NBA | BOSTON at ATLANTA
Play Against - Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (BOSTON) in a game involving two good FT shooting teams (76-79%) after 42+ games, after 5 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 42% or less
41-16 since 1997. ( 71.9% | 23.4 units )

NBA | INDIANA at TORONTO
Play On - Any team vs the money line (TORONTO) off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a favorite, with a winning record on the season
241-123 over the last 5 seasons. ( 66.2% | 79.2 units )
44-20 this year. ( 68.8% | 18.0 units )

NBA | INDIANA at TORONTO
Play Under - Road teams where the first half total is between 95.5 and 100.5 points with a winning record on the season playing another winning team, in April games
220-133 since 1997. ( 62.3% | 73.7 units )
7-9 this year. ( 43.8% | -2.9 units )
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PostPosted: Tue Apr 26, 2016 8:22 am    Post subject: Re: nba playoff stuff!

Boston Celtics (48-34) at Atlanta Hawks (48-34)

NBA: Tuesday, April 26, 2016, at 8:30 p.m. ET

Line: Atlanta -6.5

Over/Under: 201

The Boston Celtics travel to Philips Arena to take on the Atlanta Hawks for a pivotal game five. The series is tied at 2-2 after Boston took game four 104-95 in overtime. It was certainly one of the most memorable games of this postseason. Jeff Teague connected on back-to-back threes to send the game to overtime but it was all Boston in the extra period. The winner of game five will certainly take control of the series in a potential game six clincher.


t usually takes a big game from star point guard Isaiah Thomas for the Celtics to win games. In game four, Thomas played well finishing with 28 points and six assists. It was the role players that came up big in the biggest moments. Marcus Smart went for 20 points, eight rebounds, and five assists. Smart scored 11 straight points for the Celtics in the fourth quarter. Jonas Jerebko had one of the best games of his career going for 16 points and 10 rebounds. Boston shot 43 percent from the field but they held the Hawks to only 37 percent. Evan Turner added 17 points, seven rebounds, and six assists.

The Hawks got an incredible game from Paul Millsap in their game four loss. Going into the contest, Millsap was averaging an uncharacteristic 8.7 points in the first three games of the series. On Sunday night, he went for a playoff career-high 45 points and 13 rebounds. Unfortunately the Hawks fell short and they failed to take a commanding 3-1 lead. Teague was quiet for most of the contest as he wound up with 13 points and five assists. The Hawks committed 14 turnovers which led to 23 Celtics points. If Atlanta wants to win game five, Al Horford (five points) and Kent Bazemore (five points) must step up.

Trends:

The Boston Celtics are:

4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. NBA Southeast.
4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. Eastern Conference.

The Atlanta Hawks are:

3-9 ATS in their last 12 Conference Quarterfinals games.
2-6 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS loss.
1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

The pick: Boston +7

I expect Millsap and Teague to lead the Hawks to a narrow win but the Celtics will keep it close. I expect Thomas and Turner to play well in a close loss.
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PostPosted: Tue Apr 26, 2016 8:24 am    Post subject: Re: nba playoff stuff!

Indiana Pacers (45-37) at Toronto Raptors (56-26)

NBA: Tuesday, April 26, 2016, at 6:00 p.m. ET

Line: Toronto -7

Over/Under: 192

The Indiana Pacers travel to Air Canada Centre to take on the Toronto Raptors for game five. Indiana is coming off a 100-83 win in game four on Saturday afternoon. The Pacers shot 47 percent from the field while holding the Raptors to an abysmal 37 percent. Indiana got big contributions from two unexpected players in George Hill and Ian Mahinmi. The winner of game five will certainly have control of the series


When the Pacers win it’s simple to assume that Paul George carried them to victory. On Saturday that wasn’t the case. It was the other George, the point guard that many seemed to forget about during this series. Hill finished with 22 points on 9-of-11 shooting. The 29-year-old averaged nine points in the first three games. Mahinmi was terrific going for 22 points, 10 rebounds, and five assists. The Pacers scored 25 points off 17 Raptors turnovers in the contest. George played decently as he had 19 points on 6-of-16 shooting. Monta Ellis was quiet as he wound up with seven points on 3-of-7 shooting in the win.

Kyle Lowry and DeMar DeRozan have not played to their capabilities in this postseason. The backcourt is averaging a combined 28.8 points on 31 percent shooting. In game four the struggles continued for the pair. Lowry went for 12 points and five assists while DeRozan had only eight points on 4-of-15 shooting. It doesn’t help that the Raptors also shot only 37 percent while committing 17 turnovers. Jonas Valanciunas (16 points) and DeMarre Carroll (4-of-8 threes) were the only bright spots in the lineup for Toronto. If the Raptors want to win game five, DeRozan and Lowry must perform at the level they have played this season.

Trends:

The Indiana Pacers are:

16-5 ATS in their last 21 games playing on 2 days rest.
5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
10-4 ATS in their last 14 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
5-1 ATS underdog in the last 6 meetings.

The Toronto Raptors are:

2-9 ATS in their last 11 Conference Quarterfinals games.

The pick: Indiana +7

The Pacers have shown they can compete with Toronto on the road after taking game one. Indiana probably won’t win this one as I expect DeRozan or Lowry to get hot. George will should keep the Pacers within striking distance in the contest and they’ll cover the game with ease.
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PostPosted: Tue Apr 26, 2016 7:34 pm    Post subject: Re: nba playoff stuff!

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PostPosted: Wed Apr 27, 2016 8:14 am    Post subject: Re: nba playoff stuff!

Charlotte at Miami, 8:05 ET
Charlotte: 0-9 ATS off 2 consecutive wins against division rivals
Miami: 9-1 ATS in home games after a loss by 6 points or less

Portland at LA CLippers, 10:05 ET
Portland: 6-1 ATS off an upset win as a home underdog
Los Angeles: 1-6 ATS off an upset loss as a road favorite

Houston at Golden State, 10:35 ET
Houston: 16-26 ATS after playing a home game
Golden State: 21-11 ATS off a road win
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PostPosted: Wed Apr 27, 2016 8:16 am    Post subject: Re: nba playoff stuff!

It started Sunday afternoon when Donatas Motiejunas fell to the floor during a play, which happens in the course of a game. His sweat on the court resulted in Stephen Curry losing his footing awkwardly, and ultimately leading to a sprained MCL which will keep him out some stretch of time between eight days and two weeks.

On Monday afternoon when his timeline was announced, it seemed that the window was suddenly open for the Los Angeles Clippers. Up 2-1 on the young and out-talented Portland Trail Blazers, suddenly a gap had opened to finally allow the Clippers -- more specifically Chris Paul -- to advance to the Western Conference finals with a real shot at reaching the NBA Finals. And in a heartbeat, on a simple play on a transition drive by Gerald Henderson, the whole basketball world flipped upside down again.

Chris Paul suffered a broken third metacarpal in his right hand against the Blazers in Game 4. There's no official word on a recovery timeline but reports have ranged from 10 days to six weeks. What is certain is that he's not going to return for this series, and there's a very good chance he's done for the playoffs.

Which means the Clippers are done for the playoffs. There's no getting past the Warriors without Paul, Curry or no Curry. There's not much of a chance in getting past the Blazers without him, especially with Blake Griffin experiencing more leg injury discomfort in that same game. Portland has all the momentum, and the Clippers lost their maestro. Paul is the one that keeps things together for the Clippers. He makes DeAndre Jordan into a weapon in the pick and roll. He frees up space for Griffin. He finds J.J. Redick and Jamal Crawford. Oh, and he's a phenomenal scorer and shooter.

And now he's gone.

So the Warriors suffered a terrible stretch of luck when Curry went down and just as the Clippers were set to benefit from Golden State's misfortune, so do the Warriors benefit from Paul's injury (and Griffin's if serious). They will either face a Clippers team that's a shell of itself or a Blazers team that is not ready for this moment, much the same way the Warriors weren't ready for the Spurs in the second round in 2013. You have to be ready for that moment and the Blazers just aren't. Reaching the second round would be a great accomplishment no matter how it comes about, but Golden State, even without Curry, would be far too much for Portland.

It's a wash, in many ways, and we return to the status quo, with the Warriors sharpied into the conference finals. Maybe you think that's "fair" but in reality, this is just sports. They're just injuries that happened to human beings. There's no right or wrong, justice or karmic equilibrium at play. Things just happen.

The big loser in all this? Fans of the game. Watching Chris Paul vs. Stephen Curry is watching two of the greatest point guards not only in the game today, but of all time. It's an epic matchup between two teams that have a genuine dislike for one another, and between Paul, who has been the best at the position for nearly a decade, and Curry, who has usurped the throne and stolen the spotlight from Paul almost entirely.

It's a matchup you want to savor and devour at the same time, that you set your DVR and clear your calendar. Cancel that Netflix and Chill, CP3 vs. Steph is on.

And now it's off.

We don't get the best of the Warriors, we don't get the best of the Clippers, and we don't get the best of Clippers vs. Warriors. There's a lot of pain here, in Steph's knee, in Paul's hand, in Griffin's leg, in our hearts for the game fans love. That won't come close to what Chris Paul is going to experience knowing this, what may be his last true chance at a title slip away, or to what Curry will go through having to watch his comrades battle without him and being unable to help them splash. All day long after Curry's injury we examined who had the most to gain with the window being opened in the most unfortunate of manners.

Monday night was a cruel reminder that as quickly as fortunes can turn for the better, they can just as easily be wiped away. Can the Warriors survive without Curry? Can the Clippers manage without Paul? Could the Blazers actually make a run? There's drama in not knowing, but there's also regret in knowing that the postseason we all had looked forward to is gone.

All in 36 hours.
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PostPosted: Wed Apr 27, 2016 8:23 am    Post subject: Re: nba playoff stuff!

Charlotte Hornets (48-34) at Miami Heat (48-34)

NBA: Wednesday, April 27, 2016, at 7:00 p.m. ET

Line: Miami -5.5

Over/Under: 193

The Charlotte Hornets travel to American Airlines Arena to take on the Miami Heat for game five on Wednesday night. On Monday night, the Hornets beat the Heat 89-85 to tie the series at 2-2. It was a strange contest that saw the Heat take an 11-point lead late in the first quarter before the Hornets went up by as many as 18 in the third quarter. Kemba Walker led Charlotte with 34 points on 13-of-28 shooting. Nicolas Batum is questionable for the contest with an ankle injury.


The Hornets picked a much-needed victory on Monday night that tied the series up at 2-2. It was Walker who led the charge. The 25-year-old had a playoff career-high 34 points to go along with only one turnover. Both teams shot only 40 percent from the field. The difference in the contest was the turnovers. Charlotte only committed nine turnovers while the Heat had 17. Jeremy Lin was huge off the bench going for 21 points on 6-of-10 shooting. Lin has been terrific over the past two contests averaging 19.5 points on 50 percent shooting.

The Miami Heat have been terrific offensively over the past few months. Despite this they tend to go in ugly scoring droughts and the reasoning is turnovers. On Monday night they scored 13 points in the second quarter after a fantastic start. Joe Johnson led the Heat with 16 points and seven rebounds. Luol Deng wound up with 15 points and seven rebounds. On a positive note the Heat did out-rebound Charlotte 46-36 in the loss. Dwyane Wade finished with 12 points, 10 assists, and seven rebounds. Wade has struggled to find his rhythm (35%) over the last two contests. If Miami wants to hold off a hungry Hornets team Wade must produce on offense.

Trends:

The Charlotte Hornets are:

5-0 over in last 5 road games.
4-0 over in last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
7-2 over in last 9 vs. Eastern Conference.

The Miami Heat are:

7-3 over in last 10 vs. NBA Southeast.
19-7 over in last 26 meetings in Miami.

The pick: Over 193

The totals from the first two games in Miami were 214 and 218. I expect Miami to find a rhythm which will make the game a pretty high-scoring game. Wade struggled on the road and I expect him to bounce back. Walker should have a big game and I expect Al Jefferson to play well.
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PostPosted: Wed Apr 27, 2016 8:26 am    Post subject: Re: nba playoff stuff!

Portland Trail Blazers (44-38) at Los Angeles Clippers (53-29)

NBA: Wednesday, April 27, 2016, at 10:30 p.m. ET

Line: N/A

Over/Under: N/A

The Portland Trail Blazers travel to Staples Center to take on the Los Angeles Clippers for a pivotal game five on Wednesday night. On Monday night, Portland evened the series with a 98-84 victory against the Clippers. Unfortunately for the Clippers both Chris Paul (broken hand) and Blake Griffin (quad), were injured in the contest. Paul is likely out for the series while Griffin’s status in uncertain. It’s a terrible break for a talented Clippers team. Portland has a terrific chance of stealing the series especially if they can win game five on the road.

The Trail Blazers usually need monster games from Damian Lillard and C.J. McCollum if they want to be top tier teams. On Monday night it was Al-Farouq Aminu who led the Trail Blazers. The ex-Clipper went for a career-high 30 points to go along with 10 rebounds. Aminu also connected on 6-of-10 from three-point range. McCollum wound up with 19 points on 6-of-13 shooting. The Trail Blazers shot only 41 percent from the field but they held Los Angeles to an abysmal 36 percent. Allen Crabbe had his best game of the series going for 12 points on 5-of-5 shooting. Lillard was quiet with 12 points and six assists. Mason Plumlee added two points, 14 rebounds and 10 assists


The Clippers lost their dynamic duo in Monday’s loss. With the pair potentially missing the rest of the series a lot of players will have to step up. Jamal Crawford, Jeff Green, and Austin Rivers will have to play at a high level. Green was the best performer as he went for 17 points on 3-of-6 from downtown. Griffin went for 17 points and Paul added 16 points. J.J. Redick and Crawford combined to shoot 7-of-28 from the floor. If the Clippers want to have any shot of holding off the Trail Blazers the backcourt will have to step their play up.

Trends:

The Portland Trail Blazers are:

5-0 under in last 5 games playing on 1 days rest.
6-0 under in last 6 vs. Western Conference.
4-1 under in last 5 road games.

The Los Angeles Clippers are:

4-0 under in last 4 overall.
4-0 under in last 4 Conference Quarterfinals games.
20-6 under in last 26 home games.

The pick: Under

Both offenses have struggled all series. Portland is shooting 39 percent from the field while the Clippers are shooting 44 percent. Game one was the only contest that involved a lot of points (210) and it took a 63-point fourth quarter.
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PostPosted: Wed Apr 27, 2016 8:29 am    Post subject: Re: nba playoff stuff!

Houston Rockets 42-44 (38-48 ATS) at Golden State Warriors 76-10 (48-36 ATS)

When and Where: Wednesday, April 27, ORACLE Arena, Oakland, Calif. 10:30pm EDT (TNT)

The Houston Rockets travel back to Oakland for Game 5 of their Western Conference Quarterfinals matchup with Golden State. The Warriors were facing a tough situation in Game 4 in H-Town. A Rockets win would have evened the best-of-seven series up at two games apiece. To make matters worse, reigning MVP Stephen Curry had to leave a tie game at halftime to nurse a knee injury that had kept him out of the previous two contests. All Golden State did without their leading scorer was respond with a third quarter that saw them outscore their opponents 41-20. They extended the lead seven more points for good measure in the fourth quarter en route to the 27-point victory. The Warriors now return home for Game 5 on Wednesday night with a commanding 3-1 series lead and opportunity to clinch a trip to the Western Conference semis.


While the Rockets may have blown a golden opportunity on Sunday, one more might have presented itself when Stephen Curry slipped on a wet spot on the court win the waning moments of the second quarter. While Houston not able to take advantage of it in Game 4, they will have at least one more chance, as Curry is expected to miss at least the rest of the series. Dwight Howard posted a double-double in the loss with 19 points and 15 boards, while James Harden pitched in 18 points, seven rebounds, 10 assists, and seven steals. Michael Beasley came off the bench and scored 17 points in 20 minutes of action. Sam Dekker is experiencing low back soreness/tightness and will miss Game 5.


The Warriors are of the mentality that the quicker this series end, the better. As soon as the team can close the Rockets out, the more time they will have to get healthy. Klay Thompson and Draymond Green helped Golden State seize control of the series Sunday in the Toyota Center. The two players combined for 25 of the Warriors‘ 41 third-quarter points and went 7-10 from beyond the arc in that same time span. The team as a whole made 14-22 from distance in the third frame. Thompson would finish with 23 points, while Green’s stat line read 18 points, eight rebounds, and six assists. The 21 3-pointers made by Golden State in Game 4 set an NBA postseason record. While Curry was in, he missed 7-of-8 shots and finished with six points, five assists, and five turnovers. On Monday his MRI revealed a Grade 1 MCL sprain. The guard is set to be evaluated in two weeks.

Trends: N/A
Pick: Golden State -9

Regardless if we see Curry play on Wednesday night or not, we have probably seen the Rockets‘ last hurrah. The Warriors have shown they can win, at least against Houston, without their star guard. The Rockets had really hoped to head back to Oakland with the series all knotted up at two games apiece. They were embarrassed in their own building in the second half of Game 4 and a road game facing elimination is not exactly what the doctor order for a squad facing elimination.
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PostPosted: Wed Apr 27, 2016 8:43 am    Post subject: Re: nba playoff stuff!

Charlotte at Miami
When: 8:00 PM ET, Wednesday, April 27, 2016
Where: American Airlines Arena, Miami, Florida
By SportsDirect Inc.

The Heat have been two different teams in the playoffs depending on the venue and will hope for a return to form on offense when the series shifts back to Miami for Game 5 on Wednesday. The sixth-seeded Charlotte Hornets took Games 3 and 4 at home to even the series and hope the defensive improvements the team made can carry over to Game 5.

The Heat set a franchise postseason scoring record with 123 points in Game 1 and put up 72 in the first half of a 115-103 Game 2 win before failing to crack 90 points in either of the two road games. “The biggest thing I’d change is nothing,” Miami center Hassan Whiteside, who was careful not to directly criticize the referees, told reporters. “We just missed some shots. They’ve got to come to South Beach, and we’ve been playing well all year at home.” The Hornets attacked the Heat defense through the paint with guards Kemba Walker and Jeremy Lin in the 89-85 Game 4 win, and the two combined for 55 points. Walker scored 11 straight Charlotte points in the last six minutes of the fourth quarter to help his team pull away.

TV: 8 p.m. ET, TNT, FSN Sun (Miami)

ABOUT THE HORNETS: Walker slumped to 17 points on 4-of-19 shooting in Game 3 but found his groove again in Game 4, especially late. “Time and time again in these situations, my team, coaching staff, everybody tells me it’s time to win.” Walker told reporters. “Coach put me in position to make plays. I just want to be as aggressive as possible. I was able to get my shot off, and I just wanted to be confident.” Lin added the highlight of the game when he banked in a 3-pointer and shrugged on the way down the court.

ABOUT THE HEAT: Miami was whistled for 26 personal fouls in Game 4, with starting guards Dwyane Wade and Goran Dragic combining for nine. “We’ve had some key guys in foul trouble,” Heat guard Joe Johnson, who did not commit a foul, told reporters. “For the most part, we were just trying to hold the fort until we can get those guys back out there. But it’s tough. We just kept fouling and kept putting them on the line. We have to make the game easier. The game has been so tough for us, especially in Charlotte. We have to make an adjustment.” Wade averaged 22 points on 19-of-38 in the first two games at home before slumping to 14.5 on 11-of-31 in Charlotte.

BUZZER BEATERS

1. Hornets G Nicolas Batum (foot) missed the last two games and is questionable for Game 5.

2. Whiteside (eight points, seven rebounds) failed to record a double-double on Monday for the first time in the series.

3. Charlotte F Marvin Williams scored 12 points on 5-of-9 shooting in Game 3 but totaled two points on 1-of-22 in the other three games.

PREDICTION: Heat 106, Hornets 102
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PostPosted: Wed Apr 27, 2016 8:46 am    Post subject: Re: nba playoff stuff!

Houston at Golden State
When: 10:30 PM ET, Wednesday, April 27, 2016
Where: Oracle Arena, Oakland, California
By SportsDirect Inc.

The news wasn’t as bad as it could have been, but the Golden State Warriors will still be without MVP Stephen Curry when they attempt to close out the Houston Rockets at home in Game 5 on Wednesday. Curry left Sunday’s Game 4 after slipping on the floor at the end of the half and was diagnosed with a sprained MCL in his right knee.

Curry will sit for two weeks before being reevaluated, putting his availability for the next round in jeopardy should the Warriors, as expected, close out the eighth-seeded Rockets. The star guard was defending on the final play of the first half on Sunday when he slipped on a wet spot and had his right knee bend awkwardly on his way to the ground. "We said two weeks, but that's no guarantee that it will be in two weeks, might be after two weeks, might be before," Golden State general manager Bob Myers told reporters after an MRI exam on Monday. "But I think it will be somewhere in that range, hopefully." Houston had a chance to even the series with Curry limping around the locker room on Sunday at home and instead were outscored 65-38 in the second half of a 121-94 loss.

TV: 10:30 p.m. ET, TNT, ROOT Southwest (Houston), CSN Bay Area (Golden State)

ABOUT THE ROCKETS: The difference in effort between the teams was noticeable in the second half on Sunday, and Houston interim coach J.B. Bickerstaff was not afraid to call out his players after the game. “When the moment calls for us to raise our intensity levels, we dropped our guard,” Bickerstaff told reporters. “You could see the difference in the way that (the Warriors) played in that third quarter and how they scrapped and how they got every loose ball. You could see the intent in their guys’ eyes.” The Rockets allowed 41 points in the third quarter and now need a miraculous comeback for the second straight postseason – they overcame a 3-1 deficit to the Los Angeles Clippers in the second round last spring before falling to Golden State in the conference finals.

ABOUT THE WARRIORS: Golden State is already 1-1 in the series while playing without Curry, who sat out Games 2 and 3 with a sprained right ankle. The Warriors tend to lean on Curry’s epic scoring binges when the offense stalls, but All-Stars Draymond Green and Klay Thompson both stepped up in the second half on Sunday and are ready to carry more of the load. “It was the way we were moving the ball and trusting each other on both sides of the ball,” Thompson told reporters of the 41-point third quarter. “That’s what we’ve got to do to beat this team. We knew, as soon as Steph went down, we were going to have to do it by ourselves.”

BUZZER BEATERS

1. The Warriors are 3-2 without Curry this season and averaged 10.2 fewer points in those five games.

2. Houston PG Patrick Beverley (hamstring) also sat out the second half on Sunday and is questionable for Game 5.

3. Golden State set an NBA playoff record with 21 made 3-pointers in Game 4.

PREDICTION: Warriors 116, Rockets 100
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PostPosted: Wed Apr 27, 2016 8:49 am    Post subject: Re: nba playoff stuff!

Portland at L.A. Clippers
When: 10:00 PM ET, Wednesday, April 27, 2016
Where: Staples Center, Los Angeles, California
By SportsDirect Inc.

The Los Angeles Clippers looked like things were finally breaking their way on the injury front, and then Chris Paul reached in for a steal. The fourth-seeded Clippers will be without their All-Star point guard and All-Star forward Blake Griffin when they host the fifth-seeded Portland Trail Blazers on Wednesday.

The MCL sprain suffered by Golden State Warriors point guard Stephen Curry on Sunday seemed to make the path to the Western Conference finals much easier for Los Angeles, but the path out of the first round got much tougher the next night. Paul reached in for a steal in the lane in the third quarter on Monday and suffered a broken third metacarpal on his right hand which required surgery on Tuesday that will keep him out for the rest of the playoff. Griffin, who missed over three months in the regular season with his own broken hand and a quad injury, re-aggravated the quad in Monday’s Game 4 loss and will also sit out the rest of the way. The Trail Blazers took advantage of Paul’s absence in Game 4 and outscored the Clippers 32-20 in the fourth quarter, marking the second straight game they pulled away late.

TV: 10 p.m. ET, NBATV, KGW (Portland)

ABOUT THE TRAIL BLAZERS: Damian Lillard struggled from the floor in three of the four games in the series, including a 4-of-15 effort in Game 4, but Portland is picking up its star with big efforts from players like Al-Farouq Aminu and Mason Plumlee. Aminu scored a career-high 30 points on 11-of-20 shooting to go along with 10 rebounds, three blocks and three assists in Monday’s triumph after going 11-of-37 in the first three games. “It was just a matter of time,” Trail Blazers head coach Terry Stotts told reporters. “Obviously (Aminu) struggled shooting the ball the first three games, but that didn’t take away from what he was giving us defensively. It was good to see him break out. Everybody has been encouraging him and he’s put in the time and, like I said, it was just a matter of time before he had a game like that.”

ABOUT THE CLIPPERS: Los Angeles is focusing on the near future and trying to figure out a way to win two more games in this series. "We don't have to be the best team,” coach Doc Rivers told reporters. “We just have to be the best team (Wednesday). And then we have to figure out how to do it one more time." Paul averaged 26.3 points in the first three games of the series and had 16 before going down in Game 4 while Griffin, who aggravated the quad sometime in the second half on Monday and tried to play through the injury until the middle of the fourth quarter, averaged 15 points and 8.8 rebounds.

BUZZER BEATERS

1. Plumlee averaged 17.5 rebounds and 9.5 assists in Games 3 and 4.

2. Clippers G J.J. Redick is battling a heel injury and is 5-of-23 from the field in the last two games.

3. Portland G Gerald Henderson scored 16 points in Game 1 but totaled 10 on 4-of-22 shooting over the next three contests.

PREDICTION: Trail Blazers 103, Clippers 95
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